Predict how much the 2006 Disney films will earn

Any topic that doesn't fit elsewhere.
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Post by PatrickvD »

The Santa Clause 3 128 M
Bridge to Therabithia 78 M
Meet the Robinsons 136 M
At World's End 389 M
Ratatouille 226 M

They're likely to change as not many footage is available for these films.
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Post by Luke »

Early prediction: Pirates 3 - $420 M

By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $409.9 M
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $325.1 M (current gross: $419,654,338, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan and Disney Duster, $400 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $243,469,180, closest - PatrickvD, $243 M)

Ratatouille $234.2 M
Meet the Robinsons $132.8 M
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $108.5 M
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $65.6 M (final gross: $37,384,046, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)

Bridge to Terabithia $61.4 M
Invincible $45.5 M (current gross: $54,696,472, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan, $55 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)

Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,524,164, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $4,680,421, closest - AwallaceUNC, $4.5 M)

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,524,164, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $4,680,421, closest - AwallaceUNC, $4.5 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $64.0 M (final gross: $37,384,046, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Stick It $29.8 M ((final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)

Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $243,469,180, closest - PatrickvD, $243 M)
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $321.6 M (current gross: $419,654,338, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan and Disney Duster, $400 M)
Invincible (current gross: $54,696,472, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan, $55 M)


The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $108.5 M

Bridge to Terabithia $61.4 M
Meet the Robinsons $132.8 M
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $409.9 M
Ratatouille $234.2 M
Last edited by Luke on Wed Sep 27, 2006 10:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Post by Timon/Pumbaa fan »

Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End: $283 m
Ratatouille: $97.4 m

While it's too early to know for sure, I really don't know if any film next summer will be hugely successful seeing as they're being released back to back to back.
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Post by Luke »

Well, it's been a month since last update and there are only ten days to revise predictions on <i>Santa Clause 3</i>, so here it goes...

<font color="#A62D10"><b>Cars</b></font>
Opened June 9, 2006. Closed October 2006.

Final Gross: $244,082,982
Average Prediction: $237,373,913
Closest Prediction: $243,000,000 by PatrickvD (99.56% accurate)


Rest of predictions:
2) castleinthesky - $240 M (98.3% accurate)
3) Lucylover1986 $225 M (92.2% accurate)
4) ichabod - $222.6 M (91.2% accurate)
5) yankees - $220 M (90.1% accurate)
6) Disneykid - $270 M (89.4% accurate)
7) pinkrenata - $216.3 M (88.6% accurate)
8) creid/Jake Lipson - $275 M (87.3% accurate)
10) SofaKing38122 $212 M (86.9% accurate)
11) Timon/Pumbaa fan $208 M (85.2% accurate)
12) AwallaceUNC - $205 M (84% accurate)
13) I Am The Doctor - $200 M (81.9% accurate)
14) MickeyMousePal/kbehm29 - $195 M (79.9% accurate)
16) cydney - $190 M (77.8% accurate)
17) NarniaDis/Bill W - $300 M (77% accurate)
19) Luke - $305 M (75% accurate)
20) Mushu - $307.2 M (74.1% accurate)
21) 2099net - $180.5 M (73.95% accurate)
22) Just Myself - $315 M (70.9% accurate)
23) lord-of-sith - $160 M (65.6% accurate)

Due to the movie's high gross, nobody was way off the mark on <i>Cars</i>. It's interesting to see the less accurate predictions are almost evenly divided between those who overestimated and those who underestimated. That coupled with the close average prediction vs. only slightly higher final prediction would suggest that <i>Cars</i> pretty much exactly as expected.<hr>

By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $384.5 M
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $325.1 M (current gross: $421,243,455, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan and Disney Duster, $400 M)
Cars $237.4 M (final gross: $244,082,982, closest - PatrickvD, $243 M)
Ratatouille $208.2 M
Meet the Robinsons $132.8 M
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $108.5 M
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $65.6 M (final gross: $37,384,046, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)

Bridge to Terabithia $61.4 M
Invincible $45.5 M (current gross: $57,375,922, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan, $55 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)

Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,632,415, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $4,881,827, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan/I Am The Doctor/Jake Lipson/Bill W, $5 M)

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,632,415, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $4,680,421, closest - AwallaceUNC, $4.5 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $65.6 M (final gross: $37,384,046, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Stick It $29.8 M ((final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $244,082,982, closest - PatrickvD, $243 M)

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $325.1 M (current gross: $421,243,455, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan and Disney Duster, $400 M)
Invincible (current gross: $57,375,922, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan, $55 M)


The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $108.5 M

Bridge to Terabithia $61.4 M
Meet the Robinsons $132.8 M
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $384.5 M
Ratatouille $208.2 M


The numbers include my early prediction on <i>Ratatouille</i> of $215 M.
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Post by NarniaDis »

Not Remembering what My SANTA 3 prediction was:

$110m


And for next Year

Pirates 3: $365m
Ratatouille: $225m
Meet the Robinsons: $125m
Bridge to Teribatha: $110m
Im a riding on cloud Nine.
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Post by PatrickvD »

:D

I'm keeping my SC3 prediction at 128 million.
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Post by MickeyMousePal »

Revised Predictions

The Santa Clause 3 135 M
Meet the Robinsons 125 M


Bridge to Therabithia 68 M
At World's End 400 M
Ratatouille 210 M
The Simpsons Season 11 Buy it Now!

Fox Sunday lineup:

8:00 The Simpsons
8:30 King of the Hill
9:00 Family Guy
9:30 American Dad

Living in the 1980's:
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Post by ichabod »

Well I can't remember what my last prediction for this was and I can't be bothered searching! ;) So...

The Santa Clause 3: $102.7 mil
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Post by Timon/Pumbaa fan »

Last minute SC3 prediction coming in! :P

The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause: $183 m
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Post by Luke »

Looks like a pretty close race for the prize with seven qualifying predictors flirting around the 60% range for the year. How <i>Santa</i> holds up will determine the winner, I guess.

By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $384.0 M
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $325.1 M (current gross: $422,065,649, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan and Disney Duster, $400 M)
Cars $237.4 M (final gross: $244,082,982, closest - PatrickvD, $243 M)
Ratatouille $210.5 M
Meet the Robinsons $132.3 M
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $107.5 M (current gross: $41,086,409, closest - Just Myself, $55 M)
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
Bridge to Terabithia $72.8 M
The Wild $65.6 M (final gross: $37,384,046, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)

Invincible $45.5 M (current gross: $57,789,574, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)

Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,680,028, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $5,061,350, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan/I Am The Doctor/Jake Lipson/Bill W, $5 M)

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,680,028, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $5,061,350, closest - AwallaceUNC, $4.5 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $65.6 M (final gross: $37,384,046, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Stick It $29.8 M ((final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $244,082,982, closest - PatrickvD, $243 M)

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $325.1 M (current gross: $422,065,649, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan and Disney Duster, $400 M)
Invincible $45.5 M (current gross: $57,789,574, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $107.5 M (current gross: $41,086,409, closest - Just Myself, $55 M)


Bridge to Terabithia $72.8 M
Meet the Robinsons $132.3 M
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $384.0 M
Ratatouille $210.5 M
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Post by PatrickvD »

Santa Clause 3 saw a nice little rebound this week. It looks like its chances of $100 million aren't gone yet. Especially with christmas coming up.

Anyway, when we enter 2007 should there be a new thread? 2007 will be a fun year to predict considering disney's impressive line up.

Bridge To Therabithia
Meet the Robinsons
Ratatouille
Pirates Of The Caribbean: At World's End
Enchanted
National Treasure II: The Book of Secrets
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Post by NarniaDis »

Go Santa

and is that all that disney has lined up for next year?
Im a riding on cloud Nine.
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Post by PatrickvD »

NarniaDis wrote:Go Santa

and is that all that disney has lined up for next year?
no but with the exception of maybe Therabithia, they're all $100 million contenders/locks.

And no that's not all, there's Underdog (think Shaggy Dog and replace Tim Allen with Amy Adams), The Game Plan (The Pacifer with a different cast) and a whole slate of Touchstone films wich are being pushed out the door now that they're cutting back on making them. Wich includes The Invisible, Wild Hogs, Field Trip and the First Man.
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Post by Luke »

PatrickvD wrote:Santa Clause 3 saw a nice little rebound this week. It looks like its chances of $100 million aren't gone yet. Especially with christmas coming up.

Anyway, when we enter 2007 should there be a new thread? 2007 will be a fun year to predict considering disney's impressive line up.
The rebound is not unexpected since Thanksgiving weekend always finds Christmas movies faring well with moviegoers. I don't see it reaching $100 M, though. Anyway, yeah there will be a new thread in 2007 for the somewhat slight but interesting 2007 Disney slate. You can post predictions for <i>Underdog</i>, <i>Enchanted</i>, and <i>National Treasure 2</i> here and now however.
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Post by Luke »

<font color="#044829"><b>Invincible</b></font>
Opened August 25, 2006. Closed November 2006.

Final Gross: $57,806,952
Average Prediction: $45,452,632
Closest Prediction: $60,000,000 by Bill W (96.2% accurate)


Rest of predictions:
2) Timon/Pumbaa fan - $55 M (95.1% accurate)
3) Luke - $49 M (84.8% accurate)
4) ichabod - $48.4 M (83.7% accurate)
5) Just Myself - $67.5 M (83.2% accurate)
6) kbehm29 - $47 M (81.3% accurate)
7) castleinthesky - $45 M (77.8% accurate)
8) SofaKing38122 - $44 M (76.1% accurate)
9) AwallaceUNC - $42 M (72.7% accurate)
10) MickeyMousePal - $80 M (61.6% accurate)
11) Mushu - $35 M (60.5% accurate)
12) Lucylover1986 - $33 M (57.1% accurate)
13) cydney - $32 M (55.4% accurate)
14) pinkrenata - $31.2 M (54.0% accurate)
15) NarniaDis - $85 M (53.0% accurate)
16) 2099net - $30.5 M (52.8% accurate)
17) PatrickvD - $28 M (48.4% accurate)
18) I Am The Doctor - $26 M (45.0% accurate)
19) Disneykid - $25 M (43.2% accurate)

By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $384.0 M
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $325.1 M (current gross: $423,032,628, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan and Disney Duster, $400 M)
Cars $237.4 M (final gross: $244,082,982, closest - PatrickvD, $243 M)
Ratatouille $210.5 M
Meet the Robinsons $132.3 M
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $107.5 M (current gross: $67,648,922, closest - PixarFan2006, $65 M)
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
Bridge to Terabithia $72.8 M
The Wild $65.6 M (final gross: $37,384,046, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Invincible $45.5 M (final gross: $57,806,952, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)

Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,699,794, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $5,169,858, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan/I Am The Doctor/Jake Lipson/Bill W, $5 M)
Underdog
Enchanted
National Treasure 2

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,699,794, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)

Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $5,169,858, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan/I Am The Doctor/Jake Lipson/Bill W, $5 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $65.6 M (final gross: $37,384,046, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Stick It $29.8 M ((final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $244,082,982, closest - PatrickvD, $243 M)

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $325.1 M (current gross: $423,032,628, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan and Disney Duster, $400 M)
Invincible $45.5 M ((final gross: $57,806,952, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $107.5 M (current gross: $67,648,922, closest - PixarFan2006, $65 M)

Bridge to Terabithia $72.8 M
Meet the Robinsons $132.3 M
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $384.0 M
Ratatouille $210.5 M
Underdog
Enchanted
National Treasure 2
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Post by PatrickvD »

So Dead Man's Chest closed on December 7th.... can't wait to see who won. I know I didn't, but I really wanna see how well it was predicted overall.
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Post by NarniaDis »

Well I certaintly didnt win I think mine was around 380 but not sure...
Im a riding on cloud Nine.
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Post by Lucylover1986 »

I really did bad this year. Hopefully I can get it back on track for 2007.
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Post by Luke »

All are again encouraged to being predicting <i>National Treasure 2</i>, <i>Underdog</i>, <i>Enchanted</i>, <i>Bridge to Terabithia</i>, <i>Ratatouille</i>, and <i>Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End</i>. We'll have a 2007 thread, but any predictions made here will be carried over.

<font color="#C82E40"><b>Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest</b></font>
Opened July 7, 2006. Closed December 2006.

Final Gross: $423,315,812
Average Prediction: $325,104,000
Closest Prediction: $400,000,000 by Timon/Pumbaa Fan and Disney Duster (94.5% accurate)


Rest of predictions:
3) PatrickvD - $456 M (92.3% accurate)
4) MickeyMousePal - $385 M (90.9% accurate)
5) AwallaceUNC - $371 M (87.6% accurate)
6) lord-of-sith - $370 M (87.4% accurate)
7) Just Myself - $365 M (86.2% accurate)
8) Luke - $360 M (85.0% accurate)
9) Jake Lipson and NarniaDis - $350 M (82.7% accurate)
11) Lucylover1986 - $333 M (78.7% accurate)
12) yankees - $330 M (78.0% accurate)
13) pinkrenata - $327.5 M (77.4% accurate)
14) ichabod - $322.7 M (76.2% accurate)
15) castleinthesky and Mushu - $320 M (75.6% accurate)
17) cydney - $315.2 M (74.5% accurate)
18) SofaKing38122 - $298 M (70.4% accurate)
19) 2099net - $296.2 M (70% accurate)
20) Disneykid - $280 M (66.1% accurate)
21) kbehm29 - $278 M (65.7% accurate)
22) I Am The Doctor - $260 M (61.4% accurate)
23) Bill W - $250 M (59.1% accurate)
24) PixarFan2006 - $210 M (49.6% accurate)
25) creid - $180 M (42.5% accurate)

By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $384.0 M
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $325.1 M (final gross: $423,315,812, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan and Disney Duster, $400 M)
Cars $237.4 M (final gross: $244,082,982, closest - PatrickvD, $243 M)

Ratatouille $210.5 M
Meet the Robinsons $132.3 M
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $107.5 M (current gross: $77,360,138, closest - SofaKing38122, $82 M)
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
Bridge to Terabithia $72.8 M
The Wild $65.6 M (final gross: $37,384,046, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Invincible $45.5 M (final gross: $57,806,952, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)

Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,709,278, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $5,285,061, closest - Mushu, $5.5 M)
Underdog
Enchanted
National Treasure 2

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,709,278, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)

Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $5,285,061, closest - Mushu, $5.5 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $65.6 M (final gross: $37,384,046, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Stick It $29.8 M ((final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $244,082,982, closest - PatrickvD, $243 M)
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $325.1 M (final gross: $423,315,812, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan and Disney Duster, $400 M)
Invincible $45.5 M ((final gross: $57,806,952, closest - Bill W, $60 M)

The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $107.5 M (current gross: $77,360,138, closest - SofaKing38122, $82 M)

Bridge to Terabithia $72.8 M
Meet the Robinsons $132.3 M
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $384.0 M
Ratatouille $210.5 M
Underdog
Enchanted
National Treasure 2
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kbehm29
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Posts: 1184
Joined: Wed Jan 18, 2006 7:49 am
Location: Too Far Away from Disney
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Post by kbehm29 »

I really miss this thread. Can we revive it?

Thanks...
Disneyland Trips: 1983, 1992, 1995, 2001, 2002, 2004, 2008, 2009, 2011, 2013, 2014, 2016, Aug 2018
Walt Disney World Trips: 1999, 2007, 2011, 2014, 2016, ~Dec 2018~, ~Apr 2019~
Favorite Disney Movies: Peter Pan, 101 Dalmatians, Tangled, The Princess and the Frog, Enchanted, FROZEN
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