Predict how much the 2006 Disney films will earn

[Luke]

The other thread was pretty big and mostly geared towards films that are either out of theaters or somewhat winding down their runs, so we'll focus this thread on the 11 Disney movies slated to come out in 2006. One and probably only one of them is likely to bounce to Touchstone (the PG-13-rated <i>Stick It!</i>), but that can be this year's <i>Hitchhiker's</i>, so we'll still predict it. Everyone who has already made predictions for these films in the 2005 thread, your guesses have been logged and there's no need to repeat them.

The 2006 movies to predict:

<i>Glory Road</i> (January 13)
<i>Roving Mars</i> (January 27)
<i>Eight Below</i> (February 17)
<i>The Shaggy Dog</i> (March 10)
<i>The Wild</i> (April 14)
<i>Stick It!</i> (Spring - TBA)
<i>Cars</i> (June 9)
<i>Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest</i> (July 7)
<i>Invincible</i> (Fall - TBA)
<i>The Santa Clause 3</i> (November 3)
<i>Meet the Robinsons</i> (December 15)

More information on all of these films is available right here:
http://www.ultimatedisney.com/intheaters.html

If enough people participate, I think it's fair to expect that the individual with the highest average accuracy to their predictions overall (provided they predict 7 or more films) will win the 2006 movie of their choosing (not limited to Disney) on DVD. I'll also use this thread to continue updating on the three remaining 2005 films - their box office grosses and our predictions.

[Luke]

Today is the final day to revise or make predictions on <i>Glory Road</i>. I'm going to stick with my initial prediction on that as my gut feelings, for the most part, proved to be more accurate than my revisions in the old thread.

But I will revise my <i>Roving Mars</i> prediction to $4.3 million. That's all for now.

[creid]

Luke,

Thanx for moving the total grosses. I could not make heads or tails of which would be 2005 and 2006. I fill in the rest later.

Glory Road (January 13) $52M
Roving Mars (January 27)
Eight Below (February 17)
The Shaggy Dog (March 10)
The Wild (April 14)
Stick It! (Spring - TBA)
Cars (June 9) $275M
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (July 7) $180M
Invincible (Fall - TBA)
The Santa Clause 3 (November 3)
Meet the Robinsons (December 15)

[Luke]

Just a reminder to all (and perhaps this should be in the first post): If you're going to make new predictions or revise old ones, be sure to do it in a new post. I constantly monitor this thread and keep track of predictions in a spreadsheet I have, so editing posts will not inform me of a change - in fact, it may only disqualify your edits if a post is edited predicting movies that have opened since then. That's mostly for the eager-to-edit Pals, but applies to everyone.

[AwallaceUNC]

I'm making my first predictions for the 2006 movies:

Glory Road - $44.6 million
Roving Mars - $4.5 million
Eight Below - $28 million
The Shaggy Dog - $110 million
The Wild - $85 million
Stick It! - $24.4 million
Cars - $205 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $315 million
Invincible - $42 million
The Santa Clause 3 - $120 million
Meet the Robinsons - $205.5 million

-Aaron

[MickeyMousePal]

Revised Predictions

Glory Road $45 M
Roving Mars 9 M
Eight Below $48
The Shaggy Dog $95
The Wild $120 M
Stick It! $50 M
Cars $190 M
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $310 M
Invincible $50 M
The Santa Clause 3 $155 M
Meet the Robinsons $140 M

Okay Luke everybody knows I'm copy, paste and edit guy.

[yankees]

The Shaggy Dog: 36million
The Santa clause 3: 150million
Cars: 220million
Meet The Robinsons: 105million
The Wild: 70million
Piartes Of The Carribbean 2: 330million

[Timon/Pumbaa fan]

Glory Road: $45 M
Roving Mars: $5.0 M
Eight Below: $31.2M
The Shaggy Dog: $105 M
The Wild: $35 M
Stick It!: $42 M
Cars: $196 M
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest: $400 M
Invincible: $38 M
The Santa Clause 3: $132 M
Meet the Robinsons: $156 M

[I am the Doctor]

Missed the 2005 version - But here are my predictions for 2006:

Glory Road: $60 million
Roving Mars: $5 million
Eight Below: $15 million
The Shaggy Dog: $105 million
The Wild: $150 million
Stick It!: $25 million
Cars: $200 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest: $260 million
Invincible: $26 million
The Santa Clause 3: $108 million
Meet the Robinsons: $112 million

[Lucylover1986]

I'm going to raise Glory Road one more time to $60 million. The buzz keeps getting bigger for this.

[castleinthesky]

Same Predicts as Before:
Eight Below $35 M
Cars $170 M

Revised Predicts:
Glory Road $55 M
Roving Mars $8.3 M
The Shaggy Dog $65 M
The Wild $54 M
Stick It! $27 M
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $312 M
Invincible $ 36 M
Meet the Robinsons $123 M
The Santa Clause 3 167 M

[Disneykid]

Roving Mars - $3.5 M
Eight Below - $30 M
The Shaggy Dog - $60 M
The Wild - $70 M
Stick It! - $25 M
Cars - $270 M
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $280 M
Invincible - $25 M
The Santa Clause 3 - $95 M
Meet the Robinsons - $120 M

[Loomis]

I'm baffled as to how you guys can even predict these figures!

A movie can be a critical favourite and flop, or get the worst reviews in the world and still open to $50m.

Just out of curiousity, what are y'all basing these figures on?

[Jake Lipson]

<b>Glory Road</b> -- $30m low-end, high-end $55m, but most likely in the $40-$45m range; my official record guess is $40

<b>Roving Mars</b> -- $4-$6m; $5m record

<b>The Wild</b> -- big dud alert! -- >$20m final

<b>Cars</b> $250-$300m+; record $275m

<b>Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest</b> -- $300-$360m; record $345

[Lucylover1986]

You have to make one guess Jake. No ranges. Right now none of your predictions can be counted except for The Wild. Wanna point that out before your Glory Road prediction time is up.

[Mushu]

Revision:
Glory Road: $55.7 Million

[Bill W]

I just noticed this thread and thought it looked fun. Since today is the last day to predict for Glory Road, I'll get that one in now and predict the rest later.
Glory Road: $65 M

[Luke]

All predictions have been noted - nice to see the boom in participant. I'll post with updated grosses following <i>Glory Road</i>'s opening weekend.

[ichabod]

I'm going to change my prediction for Glory Road to $48.6 m

[Luke]

I'm going to change my prediction for Glory Road to $48.6 m

The deadline was yesterday and seeing as how you would have had six hours in today that could still be considered "yesterday" for us folk, I can't really accept this revision. Sorry.