Predict how much the 2006 Disney films will earn

[Luke]

All revisions noted, except for lord-of-sith's <i>Roving Mars</i> change (it's already playing). Here's an update (through Monday for those being tracked daily):

By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $317.1 M
The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe $248.4 M (current gross: $282,115,799, closest - lord-of-sith/ichabod $280 M)
Cars $229.8 M
Chicken Little $141.8 M (current gross: $133,629,990 M, closest - eatmorechiken, $133.4 M)
Meet the Robinsons $137.1 M
The Santa Clause 3 $130 M
The Shaggy Dog $75.7 M
The Wild $70.7 M
Glory Road $41.2 M (current gross: $39,021,630, closest - Jake Lipson, $40 M)
Invincible $35.2 M
Eight Below $35.1 M
Stick It $29.8 M
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $7,625,512, closest - pinkrenata, $7.5 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $775,656, closest - PatrickvD, $4 M)

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $7,625,512, closest - pinkrenata, $7.5 M)
Chicken Little $141.8 M (current gross: $133,629,990 M, closest - eatmorechiken, $133.4 M)
The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe $248.4 M (current gross: $282,115,799, closest - lord-of-sith/ichabod $280 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (current gross: $39,021,630, closest - Jake Lipson, $40 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $775,656, closest - PatrickvD, $4 M)

Eight Below $35.1 M
The Shaggy Dog $75.7 M
The Wild $70.7 M
Stick It $29.8 M
Cars $229.8 M
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $317.1 M
Invincible $35.2 M
The Santa Clause 3 $130 M
Meet the Robinsons $137.1 M

[NarniaDis]

Thank-you Luke

NarniaDis

[NarniaDis]

I'm changing Eight Below after seeing what others are thinking as to its release.

Eight Below - $36.5m

Thanks,

NarniaDis

[Luke]

Noted, and today is the last day to make/revise <i>Eight Below</i> predictions. Wondering if I should raise/lower it. Perhaps I'll stick with my gut feeling - they tended to be more reliable than my revisions last year.

[ichabod]

I may live to regret this but I will change my prediction for Eight Below

Eight Below: $47.8 Mil

[lord-of-sith]

All revisions noted, except for lord-of-sith's <i>Roving Mars</i> change (it's already playing).

Oops! Sorry.

[PatrickvD]

Eight Below: $36 million

like Ichabod I will probaply regret. No idea how this one isgonna do... I doubt it will be succesful because I don't see market for a film so cheesy and cliché. I know most Disney live action flicks are, but this one looks just way too cheesy...

[Lucylover1986]

I don't even remember what I predicted for Eight Below so I'll go with the following predictions for that one and all the other releases:

Eight Below - $50 million
The Shaggy Dog - $60 million
The Wild - $75 million
Stick It! - $20 million
Cars - $225 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $275 million
Invincible - $35 million
The Santa Clause 3 - $130 million
Meet the Robinsons - $100 million

[Mushu]

Revision:
Eight Below: 50 M

[Luke]

Made note of all the predictions and now no more may come. Interesting how <i>Eight Below</i>'s average predicted gross jumped from $35.1 M to $37.6 M after today's shuffling. This is one of those live action pictures which is tough to read how audiences will respond. Reviews are good, cast seems tailored to a different demographic, and though the dogs are no doubt the prime attraction, they won't have comedic writing or voiceovers to back them up. We shall see if it does <i>Snow Dogs</i>-type numbers or more like <i>Ice Princess</i> basically after this weekend, though legs could make a difference.

[NarniaDis]

After seeing what boxofficeguru said in the Sat. update, Eight below looks to be Disney's best so far this year. Fridays #'s put it in second with 5m going tword a 22-25m opening.

NarniaDis

[Luke]

As long as it holds up as expected, it looks like most of us underestimated it.

[ichabod]

Boy am I glad I upped my Eight Below estimate, Box office Mojo have it's 3 day estimate at $19,850,000 at it's a number 1! Now, I just wish i upped it more!

[PatrickvD]

yeah. woth the great reviews, it should create word of mouth and develop good legs. I think eventhough I upped it, I still underestimated it. Big time. I actually wanna see it now.

[NarniaDis]

But did you all look at the 4-Day weekend total? BOM has it pegged at $25.0m as does Boxoffice Guru.

Wish I had changed mine as it will probably gross around 50-60 now.

NarniaDis

[Lucylover1986]

Way more than that. Should make between 70 - 75 million.

[I am the Doctor]

I underestimated Eight Below big time. My thoughts were that many movie-goers would look at it as a Snow Dogs sequel or ripoff, but I'm glad its doing well. I haven't had a chance to get to too many movies lately, so maybe I'll try and get out to see this one.

[NarniaDis]

Luke, will you be updating this weekend?

NarniaDis

[Luke]

I guess I can. I should definitely do it before <i>The Shaggy Dog</i> opens.

[MickeyMousePal]

Revised Prediction

The Shaggy Dog (2006) remake with Tim Allen

$95 Million to $160 Million