Predict how much the 2006 Disney films will earn

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kbehm29
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Post by kbehm29 »

I would like to revise some of my predictions:

Invincible - $47M
Santa Clause 3 - $95M
Meet the Robinsons - $135M
Bridge to Terabithia - $55M
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Post by Timon/Pumbaa fan »

Bridge to Terabithia- I actually read the book. While I guess it's refreshing for Disney than the "inspirational sports movie", I can't imagine families(or anyone, for that matter) "rushing" out to see this.

$47 m
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crunkcourt
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Post by crunkcourt »

Bridge to Terabithia: $70 mil

I haven't read this book in a long time, but from what I can remember it is an absolutely amazing book and has some potential for a great film.
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Luke
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Post by Luke »

Update...

By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $325.1 M (current gross: $258,364,766, closest - I Am The Doctor, $260 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $220,001,446, closest - ichabod, $222.6 M)

Meet the Robinsons $131.8 M
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $116.3 M
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (current gross: $61,039,681, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $65.6 M (current gross: $36,574,391, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)

Bridge to Terabithia $65.0 M
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Invincible $41.7 M
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (current gross: $26,746,258, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,156,318, closest - pinkrenata, $7.5 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $4,066,489, closest - PatrickvD, $4 M)

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,156,318, closest - pinkrenata, $7.5 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $4,066,489, closest - PatrickvD, $4 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (current gross: $61,039,681, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $64.0 M (current gross: $36,574,391, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (current gross: $26,746,258, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $220,001,446, closest - ichabod, $222.6 M)
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $321.6 M (current gross: $258,364,766, closest - I Am The Doctor, $260 M)


Invincible $41.7 M
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $116.3 M

Bridge to Terabithia $65.0 M
Meet the Robinsons $131.8 M
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Post by NarniaDis »

Guess our avg. Prediction (325) is gonna get blown out today. :D

Lets hope Pirates keeps doing Well.
Im a riding on cloud Nine.
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Post by NarniaDis »

Well according to BOM, both SD and Stick it closed yesterday. Between the 2 of them they added $88 million to Disneys coffers this year (before cost).
Im a riding on cloud Nine.
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Luke
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Post by Luke »

Update...

Making my prediction for <b>Bridge to Terabithia</b>: $63.

By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $325.1 M (current gross: $358,485,761, closest - Luke, $360 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $234,802,642, closest - castleinthesky, $240 M)

Meet the Robinsons $131.8 M
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $116.3 M
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $65.6 M (current gross: $37,179,189, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Bridge to Terabithia $64.7 M
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Invincible $41.7 M
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)

Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,261,010, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $4,248,749, closest - Luke, $4.3 M)

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,261,010, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $4,248,749, closest - Luke, $4.3 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)

The Wild $64.0 M (current gross: $37,179,189, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Stick It $29.8 M ((final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $234,802,642, closest - castleinthesky, $240 M)
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $321.6 M (current gross: $358,485,761, closest - Luke, $360 M)


Invincible $41.7 M
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $116.3 M

Bridge to Terabithia $64.7 M
Meet the Robinsons $131.8 M


Well, look at that, it looks like I have <i>Pirates</i> all wrapped up! Assuming that, you know, it only makes $1.5 million henceforth. I'm pretty sure it will do that! ;)

Final tallies on <b>Shaggy</b> and <b>Stick It</b> to come.
Last edited by Luke on Mon Jul 31, 2006 6:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Luke
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Post by Luke »

<font color="#E31635"><b>The Shaggy Dog</b></font>
Opened March 10, 2006. Closed July 2006.

Final Gross: $61,123,569
Average Prediction: $78,761,539
Closest Prediction: $60,000,000 by Lucylover1986, Just Myself, lord-of-sith and Disneykid (98.16% accurate)


Rest of predictions:
5) PatrickvD - $58 M (94.9% accurate)
6) castleinthesky/cydney - $65 M (93.65% accurate)
8) pinkrenata/Jack/TheLittleMerman - $70 M (85.5% accurate)
11) TaleAsOldAsTime - $71.3 M (83.4% accurate)
12) Wonderlicious - $45 M (73.6% accurate)
13) Luke - $80 M (69.1% accurate)
14) Mushu - $82.4 M (65.2% accurate)
15) Bill W - $85 M (60.9% accurate)
16) yankees - $36 M (58.9% accurate)
17) creid - $92 M (49.5% accurate)
18) Prince Eric - $30 M (49.1% accurate)
19) ichabod - $96.1 M (42.8% accurate)
20) NarniaDis - $100 M (36.4% accurate)
21) 2099net/Timon-Pumbaa fan/I Am The Doctor - $105 M (28.2% accurate)
24) SofaKing38122 - $107 M (24.9% accurate)
25) AwallaceUNC - $110 M (20.0% accurate)
26) MickeyMousePal - $160 M (0% accurate)
<hr>

<font color="#E90505"><b>Stick It</b></font>
Opened April 28, 2006. Closed July 2006.

Final Gross: $26,910,736
Average Prediction: $29,847,059
Closest Prediction: $27,000,000 by castleinthesky (99.67% accurate)


Rest of predictions:
2) PatrickvD/kbehm29 - $26 M (96.6% accurate)
4) NarniaDis/I Am The Doctor/Disneykid/<strike>Luke</strike>¹ - $25 M (92.9% accurate)
7) AwallaceUNC - $24.4 M (90.7% accurate)
8) Timon/Pumbaa fan - $30 M (88.5% accurate)
9) 2099net - $23.5 M (87.3% accurate)
10) pinkrenata - $23.3 M (86.6% accurate)
11) ichabod - $21.8 M (81.0% accurate)
12) Lucylover1986/Bill W - $20 M (74.3% accurate)
14) SofaKing38122 - $37 M (62.5% accurate)
15) Mushu - $38.4 M 57.3% accurate)
16) Just Myself - $45 M (32.8% accurate)
17) MickeyMousePal - $70 M (0% accurate)
¹ - didn't count - made after midnight
<hr>
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Post by NarniaDis »

Well SD really hurt me (36% ouch :o ) but Stick it was more in line.

Heres a revised prediction for Invincible

$85m
Im a riding on cloud Nine.
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Post by ichabod »

I haven't checked this thread for a while, but I ain't doing too shabby!

updated prediction for Invincible $48.4 mil
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Bill W
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Post by Bill W »

Well, I guess its time I eat crow about my prediction for Pirates. This thing has really surprised me. My original prediction was $325, then I lowered it to $250 after seeing the trailer. I guess I let my anticipation for the movie cloud my preception of other people's anticpation for the movie. As of Monday, its already at $361! It just blows me away how many people go to see what I consider a mediocre movie due to hype and marketing.

I was also off with Cars. My prediction of $300 won't be met with a current gross of $235. I still haven't seen it, so I don't know why it didn't meet my prediction.

Its interesting to note how some movies you'd expect to be huge, turn out to be duds at the box office, like Superman Returns. I would have thought it'd do at least $300, but it's looking like it won't even make $200. I think Warner was expecting more too, given the reported budget of $260. Again, I haven't seen this movie, so I'm not sure why it hasn't fared so well.
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Post by PatrickvD »

Dead Man's Chest will most likely end with about $420 million. Wich is great. I hope it can have some good late legs to push it past $430 million, closer to my $456 million prediction.

I wonder when we're gonna have our first look at Bridge to Terabithia. I hope it's good. We rarely see great films from Disney outside summer or winter.
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Post by PatrickvD »

I just realised my Cars prediction might end up right on target. go me.

It might even end up with more than my 243 million. Amazing run for an amazing film.
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Post by NarniaDis »

Well Pirates has blown by me as well (350) heres to hoping it can take down THe Phantom Menace (431)
Im a riding on cloud Nine.
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Post by Just Myself »

Like everyone else, DMC has overblown my prediction. Here's to hoping it can take down Shrek 2 and The Phantom Menace. :)

Cheers,
JM :thumb:
Cheers,
JM :thumb:
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Luke
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Post by Luke »

Yay! I don't know how it happened, but some lively discussion suddenly found this thread! :up:

Update...

Making my prediction for <b>Bridge to Terabithia</b>: $63.

By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $325.1 M (current gross: $379,699,644, closest - MickeyMousePal, $385 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $237,517,306, closest - castleinthesky, $240 M)

Meet the Robinsons $131.8 M
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $116.3 M
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $65.6 M (current gross: $37,310,059, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Bridge to Terabithia $64.7 M
Invincible $45.4 M
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)

Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,313,348, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $4,338,420, closest - Luke, $4.3 M)

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,313,348, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $4,338,420, closest - Luke, $4.3 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)

The Wild $64.0 M (current gross: $37,310,059, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Stick It $29.8 M ((final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $237,517,306, closest - castleinthesky, $240 M)
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $321.6 M (current gross: $379,699,644, closest - MickeyMousePal, $385 M)


Invincible $45.4 M
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $116.3 M

Bridge to Terabithia $64.7 M
Meet the Robinsons $131.8 M
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Post by MickeyMousePal »

Bridge to Terabithia $69 M
The Simpsons Season 11 Buy it Now!

Fox Sunday lineup:

8:00 The Simpsons
8:30 King of the Hill
9:00 Family Guy
9:30 American Dad

Living in the 1980's:
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Post by PatrickvD »

Dead Man's Chest just jumped over Star Wars Episode III to become the #7 All Time in the US. Next up is Spider Man. :)
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Post by Lucylover1986 »

Updating...

Invincible - $33 million
The Santa Clause 3 - $95 million
Meet the Robinsons - $95 million
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Post by Luke »

Updated with the most recent tallies and all predictions as of this post...

By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $325.1 M (current gross: $395,208,464, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan and Disney Duster, $400 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $239,096,604, closest - castleinthesky, $240 M)

Meet the Robinsons $131.6 M
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $114.6 M
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $65.6 M (current gross: $37,371,315, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Bridge to Terabithia $65.3 M
Invincible $45.2 M
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)

Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,363,522, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $4,404,473, closest - AwallaceUNC, $4.5 M)

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,363,522, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $4,404,473, closest - AwallaceUNC, $4.5 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)

The Wild $64.0 M (current gross: $37,371,315, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Stick It $29.8 M ((final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $239,096,604, closest - castleinthesky, $240 M)
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $321.6 M (current gross: $395,208,464, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan and Disney Duster, $400 M)


Invincible $45.2 M
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $114.6 M

Bridge to Terabithia $65.3 M
Meet the Robinsons $131.6 M
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