Predict how much the 2006 Disney films will earn

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NarniaDis
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Post by NarniaDis »

Ya, SD has made like another $2m in the last week & a half.

Odd, really
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MickeyMousePal
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Post by MickeyMousePal »

Revised Prediction

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $350 M

Old $310 M New $350 M
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8:30 King of the Hill
9:00 Family Guy
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Luke
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Post by Luke »

All revisions noted.

By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $319.9 M
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $165,365,996, closest - lord-of-sith, $160 M)
Meet the Robinsons $130.8 M
The Santa Clause 3 $118.2 M
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (current gross: $60,571,629, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $65.6 M (current gross: $36,147,010, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)

Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Invincible $40.1 M
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (current gross: $26,026,236, closest - PatrickvD/kbehm29, $26 M)
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,015,128, closest - pinkrenata, $7.5 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $3,777,619, closest - PatrickvD, $4 M)

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,015,128, closest - pinkrenata, $7.5 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $3,777,619, closest - PatrickvD, $4 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (current gross: $60,571,629, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $64.0 M (current gross: $36,147,010, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (current gross: $26,026,236, closest - PatrickvD/kbehm29, $26 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $165,365,996, closest - lord-of-sith, $160 M)


Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $319.9 M
Invincible $40.1 M
The Santa Clause 3 $118.2 M

Meet the Robinsons $130.8 M
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AwallaceUNC
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Post by AwallaceUNC »

Bumping my Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead's Man Chest prediction to $355 million.

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Post by PatrickvD »

My Cars 243 million prediction doesn't look so bad now, at this rate, it will finsh a little below that but I will still be close.

My Pirates 456 million prediction still looks redicolous, but still, advanced ticket sales are through the roof and tracking ahead of Spiderman. I've read of lots of sold-out showings from friday through sunday.

This one is gonna be big. I think it's a lock for breaking the opening weekend record. And if people love it as much as they loved Curse of the Black Pearl, it could easily go as high my prediction.
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Post by MickeyMousePal »

Revised Prediction : Invincible $70 M
The Simpsons Season 11 Buy it Now!

Fox Sunday lineup:

8:00 The Simpsons
8:30 King of the Hill
9:00 Family Guy
9:30 American Dad

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Luke
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Post by Luke »

MickeyMousePal wrote:Revised Prediction : Invincible $70 M
That's what you already had for that, FYI. I believe the same goes for the recently-revised <i>Pirates</i> prediction.
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Post by Luke »

Remember, this Thursday at 11:59 PM Eastern provides your last opportunity to make or revise <i>Pirates</i> predictions. Anyone may make a guess (we're going for most accurate domestic gross), regardless of whether they've participated thus far.


By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $321.6 M
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $190,506,108, closest - cydney, $190 M)
Meet the Robinsons $130.8 M
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $118.2 M
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (current gross: $60,785,375, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $65.6 M (current gross: $36,246,595, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)

Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Invincible $40.1 M
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (current gross: $26,179,581, closest - PatrickvD/kbehm29, $26 M)
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,073,747, closest - pinkrenata, $7.5 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $3,912,719, closest - PatrickvD, $4 M)

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,073,747, closest - pinkrenata, $7.5 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $3,912,719, closest - PatrickvD, $4 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (current gross: $60,785,375, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $64.0 M (current gross: $36,246,595, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (current gross: $26,179,581, closest - PatrickvD/kbehm29, $26 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $190,506,108, closest - cydney, $190 M)


Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $321.6 M
Invincible $40.1 M
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $118.2 M

Meet the Robinsons $130.8 M


Dang, had my <i>Stick It</i> prediction been made an hour earlier, that would have given me my most accurate guess yet.

Oh, and feel free to start predicting <a href="http://www.ultimatedisney.com/intheater ... ><i>Bridge to Terabithia</i></a>, which is slated for release in February '07. We'll have another new friend once next year begins or gets closer, but it's perfectly fine to make predictions for that and <i>Robinsons</i> now.
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Post by cydney »

Look at that.. I'm closest to Cars right now! Of course by the time it closes I'll be more then that :( , I knew I should've raised my prediction.

I think I'm gonna raise my Pirates prediction to $315.2
NarniaDis
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Post by NarniaDis »

Well based on 8 Below, Ill give Bridge $65m (know nothing about it other than whats on the website.

and $145 to Robinsons
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Post by AwallaceUNC »

Bumping my Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest prediction to $375 million.

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NarniaDis
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Post by NarniaDis »

Bumping My Pirates also $345 (I think thats going UP :? ) if not, I don't have a lot of time today. so I have to chang it now.

Thanks Luke :)
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Post by MickeyMousePal »

Revised Prediction : Invincible $80 M

Pirates of the Carribean: Dead's Man Chest $385
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8:30 King of the Hill
9:00 Family Guy
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Post by PixarFan2006 »

pirates dead mans chest: 210 million
santa clause 3: 65 million
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Post by PatrickvD »

PixarFan2006 wrote:pirates dead mans chest: 210 million
santa clause 3: 65 million
lol, you do know $210 million is impossible for Pirates... it will make that in 10 days... If I were you'd up my prediction by at least another 50 million. :wink:

I do feel your SC3 prediction... it looks lame kitchy-ish... not as fun as the first 2.
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Post by Luke »

All posts noted. Just 9½ hours left to predict or revise. NarniaDis, you actually bumped <i>Pirates</i> down $5 M.

With these latest guesses, the average on <i>Pirates</i> has dropped a couple of million, but it's still easily the most highly-predicted of any film we've dealt with.
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Post by NarniaDis »

Alright, then leave it @350 :?

your guess is as good as mine as to the final talley.
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Disney Duster's First Foray into Predictions with Pirates!

Post by Disney Duster »

I really want Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest to do well, so I'm going to say $400 million just because high predictions make one feel good about a movie. :wink:
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Post by Jake Lipson »

I'll up Pirates to $350 million from my original $345, with at least $120 million of that coming from the first weekend. I wouldn't be surprised to see it go to $400 million, either, but I'll stick with $350 for the record.
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AwallaceUNC
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Post by AwallaceUNC »

Knocking my prediction for Pirates down to $371 million.

-Aaron
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and The Thinking Fan's Guide to Walt Disney World: Magic Kingdom (Epcot coming soon)
• Host of Zip-A-Dee-Doo-Pod, the longest-running Disney podcast
• Entertainment Writer & Moderator at DVDizzy.com
• Twitter - @aaronspod
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