Predict how much the 2005 Disney films will earn

[MickeyMousePal]

Okay who thinks that Swiss Family Robinson should have Tim Allen, Hillary Duff and Lindsay Lohan as the main stars? But this time the girls are fighting for Jonathan Taylor Thomas. But who could be the younger brother? Maybe Alex D. Linz could play the younger brother.

Luke what happen to the updates?

[Luke]

Okay who thinks that Swiss Family Robinson should have Tim Allen, Hillary Duff and Lindsay Lohan as the main stars? But this time the girls are fighting for Jonathan Taylor Thomas. But who could be the younger brother? Maybe Alex D. Linz could play the younger brother.

Luke what happen to the updates?

Swiss Family Robinson will be starting in September, Santa Clause 3 in November. Tim Allen can't do both. As for the updates, I can do them on Sundays and then again on Monday with the actual numbers, or I can just wait for the actual numbers on Monday and do it them.

Anyway, estimates from www.BoxOfficeMojo.com :

1 N Guess Who Sony $21,000,000 - 3,147 - $6,673 $21,000,000 - / - 1
2 N Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous WB $14,510,000 - 3,233 - $4,488 $17,610,000 - / - 1
3 1 The Ring Two DW $13,800,000 -60.6% 3,341 +9 $4,130 $58,085,000 - / - 2
4 2 Robots Fox $13,000,000 -38.2% 3,431 -345 $3,788 $87,356,000 $75 / - 3
5 3 The Pacifier BV $8,541,000 -31.8% 3,102 -79 $2,753 $86,287,000 $56 / - 4
6 5 Hitch Sony $4,300,000 -33.6% 2,233 -470 $1,925 $166,459,000 $70 / - 7
7 6 Hostage Mira. $4,111,000 -31.4% 1,977 -206 $2,079 $26,175,000 - / - 3
8 4 Ice Princess BV $3,702,000 -45.6% 2,501 - $1,480 $13,312,000 - / - 2
9 7 Be Cool MGM $2,850,000 -51.5% 1,883 -777 $1,513 $52,383,000 $53 / - 4
10 8 Million Dollar Baby WB $2,610,000 -35.1% 1,710 -500 $1,526 $94,160,000 $30 / - 15

As of now, it looks like...

The Pacifier will wind up with about $110 million at least.
Ice Princess is on pace for $20-$25 million. (Far less than the $90 million prediction, Pals. )
Pooh's Heffalump Movie will finish with just over $18 million.

[MickeyMousePal]

Oh, brother Tim Allen can't do Swiss Family Robinson oh well at least he could do The Santa Clause 3. Hopefully Swiss Family Robinson gets delayed.

[RJKD23]

Oh, brother Tim Allen can't do Swiss Family Robinson oh well at least he could do The Santa Clause 3. Hopefully Swiss Family Robinson gets delayed.

YES! Tim would be good for SFR!!

ooh, how interesting! A movie with Duff and Lohan! Now that's a good idea, MMP!

[Luke]

As of March 28, from ten lists of predictions made by members. The Pacifier wound up with about $0.5 million below estimates.

By Predicted Gross:

The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe $236 M
Chicken Little $159.4 M
The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy $127.5 M
Herbie: Fully Loaded $96.1 M
The Shaggy Dog $79.9 M
Sky High $59.1 M
The Pacifier $57.8 M (current gross: $85,833,272, closest - MickeyMousePal, $80 M)
Valiant $45.7 M
Glory Road $42.0 M
Ice Princess $40.1 M (current gross: $13,342,028, closest - toonstuff, $20 M)
Pooh's Heffalump Movie $28.9 M (current gross: $17,900,207, closest - Lucylover1986, $20 M)
The Greatest Game Ever Played $17.9 M
Howl's Moving Castle $15.5 M
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $3,867,173, closest - MickeyMousePal, $5 M)

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $3,867,173, closest - MickeyMousePal, $5 M)
Pooh's Heffalump Movie $28.9 M (current gross: $17,900,207, closest - Lucylover1986, $20 M)
The Pacifier $57.8 M (current gross: $85,833,272, closest - MickeyMousePal, $80 M)
Ice Princess $40.1 M (current gross: $13,342,028, closest - toonstuff, $20 M)
The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy $127.5 M
Howl's Moving Castle $15.5 M
Herbie: Fully Loaded $96.1 M
Sky High $59.1 M
Valiant $45.7 M
The Greatest Game Ever Played $17.9 M
Chicken Little $159.4 M
The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe $236 M

Glory Road $42.0 M
The Shaggy Dog $79.9 M

[PatrickvD]

spring break is working its magic on Disney's family films. Pacifier made $1.6 on monday (wich is more than last monday) And Ice Princess increased 22%

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/char ... -28&p=.htm

I wonder what next weekend will look like.

[Luke]

Moved this to Off-Topic since there is discussion and I put quite a bit into this and in Polls & Games, it'd just get lost among the "Favorite Disney [insert animal here]" threads.

But anyway... BoxOfficeMojo.com has posted Friday's numbers and <i>The Pacifier</i> continues to hold strong with $1.875 million in 7th place. They forecasted <i>Ice Princess</i> to drop out of the top 10 this weekend, but it looks to finish in 9th. <i>Aliens of the Deep</i> will pass the $4 million mark this week and <i>Ice Princess</i> will exceed the just under 18-million <i>Pooh's Heffalump Movie</i> grossed.

[Luke]

Oh, and since Pals has edited his post as recently as March 29, I'll repeat again: I'm not looking at old posts or updating your predictions from what you originally had. If you want to revise a prediction, do it in a new post.

[BonusMage]

I don't know if you want it in this thread but Valiant had a decent opening weekend in the UK, not brilliant came in 3rd, £0.5 M behind Hitch and Robots.

3 DAY GROSS: £1,096,329

I'd give it around a $40 M USA gross at most.

[Zoltack]

My guess is... more than $1. Think about it... $500,000,000 is more than $1.

[Luke]

I don't know if you want it in this thread but Valiant had a decent opening weekend in the UK, not brilliant came in 3rd, £0.5 M behind Hitch and Robots.

3 DAY GROSS: £1,096,329

I'd give it around a $40 M USA gross at most.

Hmm, that's better than the original report which stated it finished in 5th. Not a whole lot less than Ewan's other animated flick. Still, I'd expect it to be better-received there. But then it's like Disney's pretending this doesn't exist or something. It has just showed up on the El Capitan website, which is pretty much the first place from Disney that has acknowledged it. Wonder when they're going to start promoting it. It can't be that hard to put up a little teaser thing on the Walt Disney Pictures website. Heck, I did one and I don't have access to materials or the budget they do!

[PatrickvD]

Weekend estimates from Boxofficemojo.com:

The Pacifier made an estimated $6,061,000, dropping only 25.1% from last week for a total of $96,378,000!

Disney's Ice Princess made $2,550,000, giving it a drop of 31.7% for a total of $18,554,000

Can't wait till Hitchiker's Guide comes out and hopefully spice up Disney's total for 2005. I think Disney will have a better year than last year. So far so good.

[Luke]

Just saw. We must have both been checking it for updates!

I think Disney is going to get a significant boost from their end of the year films of course. They should definitely wind up with a bigger gross overall, but then they have several more films this year too.

If <i>The Pacifier</i> is their first hit, then I'm expecting <i>Hitchhiker's</i> to be their first hit-plus!

[PatrickvD]

yup, I'm definitely looking forward to Hitchiker's Guide. Word has it that a full trailer for Chronicles of Narnia will play in front of it . I so cannot wait for both films.

It will be interesting if Disney's 2005 total is higer than that of 2004. Considering they had a Pixar film out in 2004, and not in 2005.

[Luke]

As of April 4, from ten lists of predictions made by members. <i>The Pacifier</i>'s total gross was a little below estimates, <i>Ice Princess</i>'s was a little above. <i>Pooh's Heffalump</i> and <i>Aliens of the Deep</i> both stormed above 18 million and 4 million, respectively, over the weekend. Three weeks with no new Disney openings (which is just amazing , since in a period 8 weeks, four Disney films opened)...and even then it's the now-Touchstone <i>Hitchhiker's</i>.

By Predicted Gross:

The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe $236 M
Chicken Little $159.4 M
The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy $127.5 M
Herbie: Fully Loaded $96.1 M
The Shaggy Dog $79.9 M
Sky High $59.1 M
The Pacifier $57.8 M (current gross: $96,117,665, closest - MickeyMousePal, $80 M)
Valiant $45.7 M
Glory Road $42.0 M
Ice Princess $40.1 M (current gross: $18,753,334, closest - toonstuff, $20 M)
Pooh's Heffalump Movie $28.9 M (current gross: $18,013,938, closest - Lucylover1986, $20 M)
The Greatest Game Ever Played $17.9 M
Howl's Moving Castle $15.5 M
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $4,129,918, closest - MickeyMousePal, $5 M)

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $4,129,918, closest - MickeyMousePal, $5 M)
Pooh's Heffalump Movie $28.9 M (current gross: $18,013,938, closest - Lucylover1986, $20 M)
The Pacifier $57.8 M (current gross: $96,117,665, closest - MickeyMousePal, $80 M)
Ice Princess $40.1 M (current gross: $18,753,334, closest - toonstuff, $20 M)
The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy $127.5 M
Howl's Moving Castle $15.5 M
Herbie: Fully Loaded $96.1 M
Sky High $59.1 M
Valiant $45.7 M
The Greatest Game Ever Played $17.9 M
Chicken Little $159.4 M
The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe $236 M

Glory Road $42.0 M
The Shaggy Dog $79.9 M

[Luke]

BoxOfficeMojo.com has posted the weekend updates and as expected, <i>The Pacifier</i> has now eclipsed the $100 million mark, while <i>Ice Princess</i> has reached $20 million. <i>Princess</i> has fallen out of the top 10, and <i>Pacifier</i> placed #8. The Vin Diesel film remains the third-highest grossing film of the year, behind <i>Hitch</i> and <i>Robots</i>.

[PatrickvD]

That is pretty darn impressive. The next Disney film (or rather Buena Vista since it's Touchstone) is "A Lot Like Love". It doesn't look interesting at all, so the next big thing is definitely Hitchhiker. I'm sooo anticipating that one.

[Luke]

That is pretty darn impressive. The next Disney film (or rather Buena Vista since it's Touchstone) is "A Lot Like Love". It doesn't look interesting at all, so the next big thing is definitely Hitchhiker. I'm sooo anticipating that one.

Yeah, <i>A Lot Like Love</i> doesn't look very good. Even though it's clearly trying to be a 'romantic comedy', the trailers don't convey the 'comedy' aspect very well, which I actually think Ashton Kutcher and Amanda Peet are tailored to. As such, it looks like a pretty standard unfunny romance movie, and one I'm in no hurry to see. Something like this could gross a decent amount in January when there's little competition (<i>Just Married</i> brought in $56 million two years ago), but with plenty of other options including another Ashton Kutcher comedy, I'd be surprised to see it do more than $35 million. (But I've been wrong before!)

Hoping to maybe see <i>Hitchhiker's</i> early. If so, I could maybe do a "Touching on Touchstone" review for the site. Looking forward to that!

[PatrickvD]

That is pretty darn impressive. The next Disney film (or rather Buena Vista since it's Touchstone) is "A Lot Like Love". It doesn't look interesting at all, so the next big thing is definitely Hitchhiker. I'm sooo anticipating that one.

Yeah, <i>A Lot Like Love</i> doesn't look very good. Even though it's clearly trying to be a 'romantic comedy', the trailers don't convey the 'comedy' aspect very well, which I actually think Ashton Kutcher and Amanda Peet are tailored to. As such, it looks like a pretty standard unfunny romance movie, and one I'm in no hurry to see. Something like this could gross a decent amount in January when there's little competition (<i>Just Married</i> brought in $56 million two years ago), but with plenty of other options including another Ashton Kutcher comedy, I'd be surprised to see it do more than $35 million. (But I've been wrong before!)

Hoping to maybe see <i>Hitchhiker's</i> early. If so, I could maybe do a "Touching on Touchstone" review for the site. Looking forward to that!

Would be awesome if you'd do a review for the site! I just checked and saw Hitchhiker isnt coming out for another two months here in Holland, so I'm bretty p*ssed off right now

[Luke]

As of April 11, from ten lists of predictions made by members.

By Predicted Gross:

The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe $236 M
Chicken Little $159.4 M
The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy $127.5 M
Herbie: Fully Loaded $96.1 M
The Shaggy Dog $79.9 M
Sky High $59.1 M
The Pacifier $57.8 M (current gross: $100,566,320, closest - MickeyMousePal, $80 M)
Valiant $45.7 M
Glory Road $42.0 M
Ice Princess $40.1 M (current gross: $20,942,437, closest - toonstuff, $20 M)
Pooh's Heffalump Movie $28.9 M (current gross: $18,081,626, closest - Lucylover1986, $20 M)
The Greatest Game Ever Played $17.9 M
Howl's Moving Castle $15.5 M
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $4,300,791, closest - MickeyMousePal, $5 M)

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $4,300,791, closest - MickeyMousePal, $5 M)
Pooh's Heffalump Movie $28.9 M (current gross: $18,081,626, closest - Lucylover1986, $20 M)
The Pacifier $57.8 M (current gross: $100,566,320, closest - MickeyMousePal, $80 M)
Ice Princess $40.1 M (current gross: $20,942,437, closest - toonstuff, $20 M)
The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy $127.5 M
Howl's Moving Castle $15.5 M
Herbie: Fully Loaded $96.1 M
Sky High $59.1 M
Valiant $45.7 M
The Greatest Game Ever Played $17.9 M
Chicken Little $159.4 M
The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe $236 M

Glory Road $42.0 M
The Shaggy Dog $79.9 M