Predict how much the 2005 Disney films will earn
Last chance to revise those <i>Ice Princess</i> predictions! If you're so inclined, and I doubt you are, please do so in a reply to this post.
"Fifteen years from now, when people are talking about 3-D, they will talk about the business before 'Monsters vs. Aliens' and the business after 'Monsters vs. Aliens.' It's the line in the sand." - Greg Foster, IMAX chairman and president
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Ice Princess $37.3 M
The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy $172.5 M
Howl's Moving Castle $20 M
Herbie: Fully Loaded $70.6 M
Sky High $68.2 M
Valiant $36.8 M
The Greatest Game Ever Played $25 M
Chicken Little $218.7 M
The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe $295.4 M
Glory Road $30.9 M
The Shaggy Dog $74.1 M
The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy $172.5 M
Howl's Moving Castle $20 M
Herbie: Fully Loaded $70.6 M
Sky High $68.2 M
Valiant $36.8 M
The Greatest Game Ever Played $25 M
Chicken Little $218.7 M
The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe $295.4 M
Glory Road $30.9 M
The Shaggy Dog $74.1 M
Cheers,
JM
JM
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And hey, Pals, you're not supposed to edit your original post.

Last chance to revise those Ice Princess predictions! If you're so inclined, and I doubt you are, please do so in a reply to this post.
"Fifteen years from now, when people are talking about 3-D, they will talk about the business before 'Monsters vs. Aliens' and the business after 'Monsters vs. Aliens.' It's the line in the sand." - Greg Foster, IMAX chairman and president
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Once again, I'll make it clear. If you're going to revise an original prediction, do so with a new reply. Don't edit the original post.
Using some math, I was able to get your original predictions, Pals. They're what I'm keeping unless you make a new reply changing something.
For instance, in this reply I'm going to make a couple of revisions.
The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe - Was $200, Now $270
Herbie: Fully Loaded - Was $85, Now $100
Using some math, I was able to get your original predictions, Pals. They're what I'm keeping unless you make a new reply changing something.
For instance, in this reply I'm going to make a couple of revisions.
The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe - Was $200, Now $270
Herbie: Fully Loaded - Was $85, Now $100
"Fifteen years from now, when people are talking about 3-D, they will talk about the business before 'Monsters vs. Aliens' and the business after 'Monsters vs. Aliens.' It's the line in the sand." - Greg Foster, IMAX chairman and president
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As of 3/20 (<i>Heffalump</i> and <i>Aliens of the Deep</i> not yet containing weekend updates.)
I've updated averages and they appear below, from the ten lists of predictions made by members. (Not everyone made predictions for all, and only pre-release predictions were counted).
By Predicted Gross:
The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe $236 M
Chicken Little $159.4 M
The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy $127.5 M
Herbie: Fully Loaded $96.1 M
The Shaggy Dog $79.9 M
Sky High $59.1 M
The Pacifier $57.8 M (current gross: $72,283,000, closest - PatrickvD, $75 M)
Valiant $45.7 M
Glory Road $42.0 M
Ice Princess $40.1 M (current gross: $7,013,000, closest - toonstuff, $20 M)
Pooh's Heffalump Movie $28.9 M (current gross: $17,675,549, closest - Lucylover1986, $20 M)
The Greatest Game Ever Played $17.9 M
Howl's Moving Castle $15.5 M
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $3,460,409, closest - MickeyMousePal, $5 M)
By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $3,460,409, closest - MickeyMousePal, $5 M)
Pooh's Heffalump Movie $28.9 M (current gross: $17,675,549, closest - Lucylover1986, $20 M)
The Pacifier $57.8 M (current gross: $72,283,000, closest - PatrickvD, $75 M)
Ice Princess $40.1 M (current gross: $7,013,000, closest - toonstuff, $20 M)
The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy $127.5 M
Howl's Moving Castle $15.5 M
Herbie: Fully Loaded $96.1 M
Sky High $59.1 M
Valiant $45.7 M
The Greatest Game Ever Played $17.9 M
Chicken Little $159.4 M
The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe $236 M
Glory Road $42.0 M
The Shaggy Dog $79.9 M
I've updated averages and they appear below, from the ten lists of predictions made by members. (Not everyone made predictions for all, and only pre-release predictions were counted).
By Predicted Gross:
The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe $236 M
Chicken Little $159.4 M
The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy $127.5 M
Herbie: Fully Loaded $96.1 M
The Shaggy Dog $79.9 M
Sky High $59.1 M
The Pacifier $57.8 M (current gross: $72,283,000, closest - PatrickvD, $75 M)
Valiant $45.7 M
Glory Road $42.0 M
Ice Princess $40.1 M (current gross: $7,013,000, closest - toonstuff, $20 M)
Pooh's Heffalump Movie $28.9 M (current gross: $17,675,549, closest - Lucylover1986, $20 M)
The Greatest Game Ever Played $17.9 M
Howl's Moving Castle $15.5 M
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $3,460,409, closest - MickeyMousePal, $5 M)
By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $3,460,409, closest - MickeyMousePal, $5 M)
Pooh's Heffalump Movie $28.9 M (current gross: $17,675,549, closest - Lucylover1986, $20 M)
The Pacifier $57.8 M (current gross: $72,283,000, closest - PatrickvD, $75 M)
Ice Princess $40.1 M (current gross: $7,013,000, closest - toonstuff, $20 M)
The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy $127.5 M
Howl's Moving Castle $15.5 M
Herbie: Fully Loaded $96.1 M
Sky High $59.1 M
Valiant $45.7 M
The Greatest Game Ever Played $17.9 M
Chicken Little $159.4 M
The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe $236 M
Glory Road $42.0 M
The Shaggy Dog $79.9 M
"Fifteen years from now, when people are talking about 3-D, they will talk about the business before 'Monsters vs. Aliens' and the business after 'Monsters vs. Aliens.' It's the line in the sand." - Greg Foster, IMAX chairman and president
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PatrickvD
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according to Box Office Mojo, these are the friday numbers. Pacifer hardly dropped from last week. Looks like it is heading for another $10 million + weekend. Has Spring Break started over there in the U.S.?? This film is definitely crossing $100 million. Big surprise.
5 THE PACIFIER $3,235,000
6 ICE PRINCESS $1,500,000
not related to this but I wanted to say the 2006 Disney movies page was an interesting read. I didn't know both American Dog and Wilbur Robinson are due out in the same year. The Banshee also sounds interesting. Great update Luke!
5 THE PACIFIER $3,235,000
6 ICE PRINCESS $1,500,000
not related to this but I wanted to say the 2006 Disney movies page was an interesting read. I didn't know both American Dog and Wilbur Robinson are due out in the same year. The Banshee also sounds interesting. Great update Luke!
Heck yes!PatrickvD wrote:Has Spring Break started over there in the U.S.??
Luke(sorry to be off-topic, but...)
are you seriousl?!
MIGHTY DUCKS 4
what the heezy.
Freakin Disney.
i hope that idea gets shot down!
and..
Yay for SC3
And yet again..another classic Disney movie being remade (SwissFR)
Thanks for updating the Theatres page!
R[APRIL.23]K: High School SweetheartsThanks! Everything I've heard points to <i>Wilbur Robinson</i> being out in November, so perhaps Disney will have a 1-2 punch in 2006 with <i>Santa Clause 3</i> and <i>Wilbur</i> the way they did in 2004 with <i>Incredibles</i> and <i>National Treasure</i> and how it's looking like they will in 2005 with <i>Chicken Little</i> and <i>Narnia</i>. Where does <i>Swiss Family Robinson</i> figure then? The third punch? <i>American Dog</i> may not make it out in time for 2006. It doesn't seem to be as far along as <i>Wilbur</i> and especially if the other CGI films don't perform up to expectations, I could definitely see <i>Dog</i> getting bumped to some time in 2007.PatrickvD wrote:not related to this but I wanted to say the 2006 Disney movies page was an interesting read. I didn't know both American Dog and Wilbur Robinson are due out in the same year. The Banshee also sounds interesting. Great update Luke!
I didn't post every Disney project supposedly in the works for next year and it already looks like they have a full slate. I'm glad they're increasing output, but one might hope for more diversity than simply remakes, sequels, CGI comedies, sports dramas, and teen girl movies. Right there, you've got five different classes, but not everything should be falling into those categories.
I agree with you, <i>The Banshee</i> definitely sounds interesting. <i>Shaggy Dog</i>, <i>Cars</i>, <i>Pirates 2</i>, and <i>Santa 3</i> are the most interesting others for me, from what little we know now. And I guess that kind of thinking is what leads them to do sequels and remakes: a familiar name yields an interest.
I must also agree with you to a point. Sure, it doesn't sound very good or original, but at the very least it would provide confirmation that Emilio Estevez is alive and well. And hey, it could mean a Special Edition for the first film.RJKD23 wrote:are you seriousl?!
MIGHTY DUCKS 4
what the heezy.
Freakin Disney.
i hope that idea gets shot down!(it'll ruin the box set!
)
Regarding Friday's numbers, it's interesting how my $30 million predictions for both <i>Pacifier</i> and <i>Ice Princess</i> appear to be quite off in different directions. <i>The Pacifier</i> is now the second highest-grossing film of 2005. But only for one day, since <i>Robots</i> will almost certainly pass it by tomorrow. Still, it's definitely Disney's first hit of the year and the legs are impressive. <i>Ice Princess</i> probably isn't going to get the $29 million <i>Confessions</i> did, but it's not like it was a huge budget film or too big of a disappointment. Just a minor one on both regards.
"Fifteen years from now, when people are talking about 3-D, they will talk about the business before 'Monsters vs. Aliens' and the business after 'Monsters vs. Aliens.' It's the line in the sand." - Greg Foster, IMAX chairman and president
Oh yes, info on EE will be appreciated! Whatever happened to him?Luke wrote:I must also agree with you to a point. Sure, it doesn't sound very good or original, but at the very least it would provide confirmation that Emilio Estevez is alive and well. And hey, it could mean a Special Edition for the first film.
Mmmmhhhhmmm, bring back Joshua Jackson. What happened to him too?
Well it does sound like a cute idea (sorta)...a children's hockey team!
R[APRIL.23]K: High School Sweethearts-
PatrickvD
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Despite some sequels (Santa Clause 3 actually sounds interesting, especially because Tim Allen is in it again and the second one was fun) and another remake (I wonder if Lindsay Lohan is in Swiss Family Robinson
) they definitely have a strong line up. I agree on the Holiday 1-2 punch. It's a smart move to release two big films away from the crowded summer holiday, where most studios release their biggest films of the year.
