Final Oscar Predictions:
The names/movies are listed in descending order in terms of probability of getting nominated. The bottom row of each category is the list of alternates, also in descending order of probability.
Best Picture
Brokeback Mountain
Good Night, And Good Luck
Crash
Capote
Walk the Line
Munich The Constant Gardner A History of Violence Memoirs of a Geisha
Cinderella Man
Best Director
Ang Lee
George Clooney
Bennet Miller
Paul Haggis
David Cronenberg
Steven Speilberg Woody Allen Fernando Mierelles Peter Jackson Terremce Malick
Best Actor
Heath Ledger
Phillip Seymour Hoffman
Joaquin Pheonix
David Straithairn
Terrence Howard
Russel Crowe Jeff Daniels Ralph Fiennes Eric Bana Viggo Mortenson
Best Actress
Reese Witherspoon
Felicity Huffman
Judi Dench
Charlize Theron
Ziyi Zhang
Kiera Knightley Joan Allen Laura Linney Gwenyth Paltrow Q'arianka Kilcher
Best Supporting Actor
George Clooney
Paul Giamatti
Matt Dillon
Terrance Howard
Jake Gyllenhaal
William Hurt Frank Langella Don Cheadle Donald Sutherland Bob Hoskins
Best Supporting Actress
Rachel Weisz
Michelle Williams
Catherine Keener
Amy Adams
Li Gong
Maria Bello
Frances McDormand Thandie Newton Shirley McKlein Scarlet Johanson
Best Original Screenplay
Crash
Good Night, and Good Luck
The Squid and the Whale
Match Point
Syriana
The 40-Year-Old Virgin Cinderella Man Junebug Mrs. Henderson Presents
The New World
Best Adapted Screenplay
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
The Constant Gardner
A History of Violence
Munich
Memoirs of a Geisha Walk the Line King Kong Jarhead In Her Shoes
Costume Design
Memoirs of a Geisha
Pride and Prejudice
Mrs. Henderson Presents
Walk the Line
Good Night, And Good Luck
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory The New World Capote Cinderella Man
The White Countess
Art Direction
Memoirs of a Geisha
Good Night, and Good LuckPride and Prejudice
Brokeback Mountain
King Kong
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory Walk the Line The New World 2046
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion the Witch and the Wardrobe
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire came out of nowhere.
Best Cinematography
Brokeback Mountain
Good Night, and Good Luck
Memoirs of a Geisha
The Constant Gardner
The New World
Capote 2046 King Kong Jarhead Munich
I didn't think
Batman Begins would be their thing.
Best Sound Design
Walk the Line
War of the Worlds
King Kong
Crash
Memoirs of a Geisha
Brokeback Mountain The Constant Gardner Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch, and the Wardrobe Batman Begins
Best Original Score
Memoirs of a Geisha
Brokeback Mountain
King Kong
Munich
Cinderella Man
Syriana The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch, and The Wardrobe Charlie and the Chocolate Factory Tim Burton's Corpse Bride Crash
I wasn't even thinking about
The Constant Gardner or
Pride & Prejudice. Weird.
Best Original Song
TransAmerican
The Producers
Crash
Hustle & Flow ("Hustle & Flow"(It Ain't Over Yet))
The Corpse Bride
The Constant Gardner
Elizabethtown
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch, and The Wardrobe
Mad Hot Ballroom
Hustle & Flow ("It's Hard Out There For A Pimp")
Best Sound Effects
King Kong
War of the World
Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch, and The Wardrobe
Memoirs of a Geisha
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
Walk the Line
Visual Effects
King Kong
Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
War of the Worlds The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch, and The Wardrobe Batman Begins Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
Best Make-Up
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch, and The Wardrobe
A History of Violence
The New World
Cinderella Man Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith Mrs. Henderson Presents The Libertine
Best Editing
Brokeback Mountain
Goodnight, and Good Luck
The Constant Gardner
Crash
Munich
Walk the Line Syriana
Cinderella Man Pride & Prejudice Match Point
Best Animated Feature
Wallace and Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit
Tim Burton’s Corpse Bride
Howl’s Moving Castle
Chicken Little Madagascar Hoodwinked Steamboy Robots Valiant Gulliver’s Travels
Best Foreign Language Film
South Africa
Palestine
China
Finland
France
Korea Hong Kong Russia Mongolia Hungary Brazil
Germany Argentina
Should have guessed
Italy.
Best Documentary Feature
March of the Penguins
Murderball
Mad Hott Ballroom
Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room
On Native Soil: The Documentary of the 9/11 Commission Report
After Innocence Rize Favela Rising The Boys of Baraka Unknown White Male The Devil and Daniel Johnston Occupation: Dreamland
Best Animated Short
9
Moongirl
One Man Band
The Fan And the Flower
The Karetegaurd
Milch City Paradise The Mysterious Geographic Locations of Jasper Morello The Madagascar Penguins in a Christmas Caper At the Quintel Hotel
Best Documentary Short
God Sleeps in Rwanda
The Mushroom Club
Mr. Mergler's Gift
Abused
The Death of Keven Carter: A Casualty of the Bang Bang Club
Positively Naked
Dimmer
A Note of Triumph: The Golden Age of Norman Corwin
Best Live-Action Short
Missing
The Man Who Met Himself
Heydar, An Afghan in Tehran
Nothing Special
Lucky
The Intervention
Milk
The Man Who Met Himself
Antonio's Breakfast
Kitchen
Hibernation
ENJOY! 