With all the great things said, I can't be 100% confident on Miyazaki's chances at a second Oscar. First of all, the reviews haven't been pitch-perfect like they were for Spirited Away and doesn't look like the box-office will be significantly higher. Also, from the looks of things, there will be only three nominees this year. (There has to be 15+ eligible films for there to be a full five-slot ballot. There's been a substantial amount of anime released this year, but most of the times, those aren't deemed eligible for some reason.) In my opinion, the overall quality of releases this year are much higher. I think Madagascar, though however big its box-office is, will be forgotten by next year. Chicken Little looks to be a tough contendor if it doesn't flop. Howl's Moving Castle's real competitors will be Tim Burton's The Corpse Bride and The Wallace and Gromitt Movie. I think the Academy is more than ready to embrace claymation and this is the year to do it. We haven't even mentioned Valient. In my opinion, the viable candidates for the Oscar are:
Howl's Moving Castle
The Corpse Bride
The Wallace and Gromitt Movie
Madagascar
Chicken Little
Valient
Howl's Moving Casltle probably leading, but there's still four major releases before I can fully gauge the competition/situation.
