DVDizzy Forum

thanks Luke...

Internationally Pirates made an additional $25.5 million this weekend, wich puts it at $522 million internationally and a whopping $923 million worldwide. Worldwide it is now #6.

This weekend it leaped over Fellowhsip of the Ring, Chamber of Secrets, Goblet of Fire, Jurassic Park and Shrek 2 ( )

On tuesday it will have passed The Phantom Menace and The Two Towers.

Domestically, Pirates passed the $400 million mark on sunday for a $401 million domestic total. It is set to pass Spiderman sometime this week.

Dead Man's Chest also became the first and only film since Titanic to have made over $400 million in the U.S. and over $500 million overseas.

Tomorrow is the <u><b>FINAL DAY</b></u> to make or revise predictions for <i>Invincible</i>. Come on people, we've only got 19 guesstimates in for it, which makes it the least-predicted Disney film of this year. Get those numbers in!

Before I post the fully updated numbers, it's time to reflect on the most recently-closed film (another one which I kick myself for straying from my initial prediction on).

<font color="#EF9733"><b>The Wild</b></font>
Opened April 14, 2006. Closed August 2006.

Final Gross: $37,384,046
Average Prediction: $65,576,190
Closest Prediction: $42,900,000 by ichabod (85.25% accurate)

Rest of predictions:
2) Timon/Pumbaa fan - $29 M (77.6% accurate)
3) Just Myself - $27 M (72.2% accurate)
4) Luke - $48 M (71.6% accurate)
5) PatrickvD - $23 M (61.5% accurate)
6) lord-of-sith - $50 M (66.25% accurate)
7) castleinthesky - $54 M (55.56% accurate)
8) Jake Lipson - $20 M (53.5% accurate)
9) Mushu - $60.3 M (38.7% accurate)
10) SofaKing38122 (26.1% accurate)
11) kbehm29 - $68.5 M (16.77% accurate)
12) yankees, NarniaDis, Disneykid - $70 M (12.8% accurate)
15) Lucylover1986 - $75 M (0% accurate)
16) pinkrenata - $84.7 M (0% accurate)
17) AwallaceUNC - $85 M (0% accurate)
18) MickeyMousePal - $90 M (0% accurate)
19) 2099net -$94.7 M (0% accurate)
20) Bill W - $100 M (0% accurate)
21) I Am The Doctor - $150 M (0% accurate)<hr>

By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $325.1 M (current gross: $402,415,220, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan and Disney Duster, $400 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $239,720,251, closest - castleinthesky, $240 M)
Meet the Robinsons $131.6 M
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $114.6 M
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $65.6 M (final gross: $37,384,046, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Bridge to Terabithia $65.25 M
Invincible $45.2 M
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,404,830, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $4,435,497, closest - AwallaceUNC, $4.5 M)

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,404,830, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $4,435,497, closest - AwallaceUNC, $4.5 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $64.0 M (final gross: $37,384,046, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Stick It $29.8 M ((final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $239,720,251, closest - castleinthesky, $240 M)
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $321.6 M (current gross: $402,415,220, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan and Disney Duster, $400 M)

Invincible $45.2 M
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $114.6 M

Bridge to Terabithia $65.25 M
Meet the Robinsons $131.6 M


Does anyone think we should try to predict the 3-D re-release of <i>Nightmare Before Christmas</i>? Or is it too much of a wild card and destined to merely throw off any successful averages we have?

Revised Prediction for:

Invincible $ 45 M

Revision for Invincible - 35 M

Luke wrote:Does anyone think we should try to predict the 3-D re-release of <i>Nightmare Before Christmas</i>? Or is it too much of a wild card and destined to merely throw off any successful averages we have?

I think that it would be better if we just predict it for fun and not let it count towards our averages. (Not that it would matter for me.)

Minor revision for me (for <b><i>Invincible</i></b>) :$49 M

Luke wrote:Does anyone think we should try to predict the 3-D re-release of <i>Nightmare Before Christmas</i>? Or is it too much of a wild card and destined to merely throw off any successful averages we have?

I don't think it's going to be that wide of a release. So I say no but doesn't matter to me. I didn't do as good this year as last year so I'm just playing for fun now.

Yay! My prediction for The Wild was pretty much on the money!

I'll stick with my original prediction of $60 M.

On another note, I was way off on The Wild! Apparently my preception of movies does not correlate very well with the theater-going-public's preception

I'll raise my prediction of Invincible to $44 million

Revising to 53 million for Invincible if still possible... totally missed this.

edit: yeah I'm 5 hours too late I noticed lol... ah well... maybe it will flop and my 28 might turn out alright...... but I doubt it.

Another Number 1 for Disney!

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

I hoping this doesn't turn into another Eight Below and go too far above my prediction!

ichabod wrote:Another Number 1 for Disney!

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

I hoping this doesn't turn into another Eight Below and go too far above my prediction!

Disney is on a roll... under the Disney Pictures label they've had nthing but hits ever since Chicken Little. A winning streak that looks like it's not ending anytime soon. They're doing really good.

I feel sorry for the movies like The Death of Mr. Lazarescu who only got $269 at the BO this weekend.

As a month has nearly passed, I think it's time for an update...

By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $325.1 M (current gross: $418,423,124, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan and Disney Duster, $400 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $243,067,357, closest - PatrickvD, $243 M)
Meet the Robinsons $131.6 M
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $114.6 M
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $65.6 M (final gross: $37,384,046, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Bridge to Terabithia $65.25 M
Invincible $45.5 M (current gross: $51,121,579, closest - Luke, $49 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,503,500, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $4,649,125, closest - AwallaceUNC, $4.5 M)

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,503,500, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $4,649,125, closest - AwallaceUNC, $4.5 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $64.0 M (final gross: $37,384,046, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Stick It $29.8 M ((final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $243,067,357, closest - PatrickvD, $243 M)
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $321.6 M (current gross: $418,423,124, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan and Disney Duster, $400 M)
Invincible $45.5 M (current gross: $51,121,579, closest - Luke, $49 M)

The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $114.6 M

Bridge to Terabithia $65.25 M
Meet the Robinsons $131.6 M


While I can't necessarily agree with PatrickvD that everything branded Disney since <i>Chicken Little</i> has been a hit, I think we all should give him credit for being so dang accurate on <i>Cars</i>. Look at that prediction! It probably has some more business to do in the cheap theaters, but even so, it looks like he's got the top-spot locked. Job well done!

With the rest of 2006 so light, we might as well start taking predictions for <a href="http://www.ultimatedisney.com/intheater ... <b>Pirates of the Caribbean 3</b></a> and <a href="http://www.ultimatedisney.com/intheater ... lle</b></a>. They're a long ways off, but revisions can always be made up through the day before release.

Whoops.... Went to make a new post and instead edited this one. On to page 15!

Cheers,
JM

Please change my prediction for Bridge to Terabithia to 68 million.

I'll throw in an initial prediction for Ratatouille at 220 million.

And my guess for Pirates 3 is 375 million.

Thanks!

Hmm, predictions, predictions!

Santa Clause 3 $75.2 mil

Bridge to Terabithia $64.9 mil

Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $455.7 mil

Ratatouille $215.8 mil

lol, thanks Luke... part of me hopes it won't make much more money, because I'm spot on right now.

on the other hand, I LOVED the film and think it deserves millions more