DVDizzy Forum

<font color="#64152B"><b>The Chronicles of Narnia: </font><font color="#236C4F">The Lion, The Witch and The Wardrobe</b></font>
Opened December 9, 2006. Closed May 2006.

Final Gross: $291,710,957
Average Prediction: $248,352,000
Closest Prediction: $280,000,000 by lord-of-sith and ichabod (96.0% accurate)

Rest of predictions:
3) AwallaceUNC - $305 M (95.4% accurate)
4) PatrickvD - $308 M (94.4% accurate)
5) Raydawggie - $275 M (94.3% accurate)
6) TaleAsOldAsTime - $270.6 M (92.8% accurate)
7) Luke - $270 M (92.6% accurate)
8) Timon/Pumbaa fan - $315 M (92.0% accurate)
9) Hogi Bear - $320 M (90.3% accurate)
10) 2099net - $263 M (90.2% accurate)
11) eatmorechiken - $250.2 M (85.8% accurate)
12) toonstuff/Prince Eric - $250 M (85.7% accurate)
14) Sofaking38122 - $243 M (83.3% accurate)
15) Mushu - $235 M (80.6% accurate)
16) Just Myself - $230 M (78.9% accurate)
17) castleinthesky - $225 M (77.1% accurate)
18) Jack/TheLittleMerman/yankees/Wonderlicious/MickeyMousePal - $220 M (75.4% accurate)
23) pinkrenata - $210 M (72.0% accurate)
24) Lucylover1986 - $199 M (68.2% accurate)
25) cydney - $130 M (44.6% accurate)
<hr>

By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $313.5 M
Cars $236.1 M (<b>Predictions due Thursday 5/25</b>)
Meet the Robinsons $130.8 M
The Santa Clause 3 $118.2 M
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (current gross: $57,721,909, closest - PatrickvD, $58 M)
The Wild $65.6 M (current gross: $35,040,583, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan, $29 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Invincible $39.4 M
Eight Below $37.6 M (current gross: $81,502,203, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (current gross: $23,852,516, closest - 2099net, $23.5 M)
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $7,833,384, closest - pinkrenata, $7.5 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $3,307,164, closest - Disneykid $3.5 M)

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $7,833,384, closest - pinkrenata, $7.5 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $3,307,164, closest - Disneykid $3.5 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (current gross: $81,502,203, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (current gross: $57,721,909, closest - PatrickvD, $58 M)
The Wild $64.0 M (current gross: $35,040,583, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan, $29 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (current gross: $23,852,516, closest - 2099net, $23.5 M)

Cars $236.1 M (<b>Predictions due Thursday 5/25</b>)
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $313.5 M
Invincible $39.4 M
The Santa Clause 3 $118.2 M

Meet the Robinsons $130.8 M

kbehm29 wrote:I couldn't find your original prediction. Did you raise or lower it?

Slight raise.

Kind of wishing that A) my <i>Stick It!</i> prediction was made in time to count and B) I hadn't raised <i>The Wild</i> on the day before its release.

<b>Important Note</b>: To keep the playing field even, this Thursday will be the deadline to predict <i>Cars</i>. After all, with so many thousands of people holding tickets to see the movie this Friday (including at least two UD forum members), it's only fair that we keep the predictions a film-unseen educated guess. Besides, with the growing range that has come to be associated with CG-animated films, this should keep things interesting.

Predict how much the 2006 Disney films will earn

A lot of money! There, now what do I win?

Lazario wrote:

Predict how much the 2006 Disney films will earn

A lot of money! There, now what do I win?

This: , but you must share it with TheSequelofDisney who made a "clever" reply like this a while back!

Luke wrote:

Lazario wrote: A lot of money! There, now what do I win?

This: , but you must share it with TheSequelofDisney who made a "clever" reply like this a while back!

Thanks for remembering Luke! I think that I had a wonderfully fantastic guess!!!!!!!!!!!!

Going out on a limb...

Cars - $300m - I really think this will become a hit and due better than TI, not better than FN but better than TI.

Part of me wants to lower my prediction but whenever I've made a change, my gut instinct has tended to be more accurate. So I'll stick with it. For everyone else, you've got less than 12 hours to revise or make your <b>Cars</b> guesstimates.

Just thought to say that 8 Below closed this past week.

LOOK OUT FOR THE CARRRRRRRSSSSSSS this weekend!

I guess I was a little suprised. Maybe we should have done an opening day prediction also on cars, (I had 19.8 as my guess at home). Anyway,
BoxofficeGuru is predicting a 64-65m weekend now that the Friday numbers are in.

Heres to cheering for CARS...

65m OW and a 301m total (hopefully)

Bumping my <b>Pirates</b> prediction to $360 M. I'll update the full list tonight.

<font color="#82B1DB"><b>Eight Below</b></font>
Opened February 17, 2006. Closed June 2006.

Final Gross: $81,612,565
Average Prediction: $37,550,000
Closest Prediction: $60,000,000 by Bill W (73.5% accurate)

Rest of predictions:
2) Lucylover1986/Mushu - $50 M (61.3% accurate)
4) MickeyMousePal - $48 M (58.8% accurate)
5) ichabod - $47.8 M (58.6% accurate)
6) cydney - $45 M (55.1% accurate)
7) Wonderlicious - $40 M (49.0% accurate)
8) 2099net/NarniaDis - $36.5 M (44.7% accurate)
10) PatrickvD - $36 M (44.1% accurate)
11) Luke/castleinthesky/Just Myself - $35 M (42.9% accurate)
14) SofaKing38122 - $34 M (41.7% accurate)
15) Prince Eric - $32 M (39.2% accurate)
16) Timon/Pumbaa fan - $31.2 M (38.2% accurate)
17) Disneykid - $30 M (36.8% accurate)
18) AwallaceUNC - $28 M (34.3% accurate)
19) lord-of-sith - $26 M (31.9% accurate)
20) I Am The Doctor - $15 M (18.4% accurate)<hr>

By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $316.7 M
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $60,119,509, closest - lord-of-sith, $160 M)
Meet the Robinsons $130.8 M
The Santa Clause 3 $118.2 M
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (current gross: $59,196,711, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $65.6 M (current gross: $35,692,196, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan, $29 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Invincible $39.4 M
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (current gross: $25,527,354, closest - PatrickvD/Jake Lipson, $26 M)
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $7,920,481, closest - pinkrenata, $7.5 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $3,589,349, closest - Disneykid $3.5 M)

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $7,833,384, closest - pinkrenata, $7.5 M)
Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M current gross: $3,589,349, closest - Disneykid $3.5 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (current gross: $59,196,711, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $64.0 M (current gross: $35,692,196, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan, $29 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (current gross: $25,527,354, closest - PatrickvD/Jake Lipson, $26 M)
Cars $237.4 M (current gross: $60,119,509, closest - lord-of-sith, $160 M)

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $316.7 M
Invincible $39.4 M
The Santa Clause 3 $118.2 M

Meet the Robinsons $130.8 M

I know this is off-topic for this year's thread, but what movies are we going to be predicting for 2007's thread? Are:

Bridge to Terabithia (2/16/07)
Wild Hogs (3/2/07)
Meet The Robinsons (3/30/07 - still think that date will change!)
POTC3 (5/25/07)
Ratatouille (6/29/07)
Underdog (8/3/07)
Enchanted (11/2/07)

...the only ones we know for sure right now??? It seems to me that more need to be added in there eventually - that doesn't seem like a full year's line-up to me.

<i>Wild Hogs</i> is Touchstone, but the other six are the only confirmed 2007 Disney releases. <i>Swiss Family Robinson</i> could sneak in there too. Even if it does, it's a light line up, at least compared to recent years. But then again, there's a higher percentage of blockbusters to that lot.

I suppose we could add <i>Nightmare Before Christmas</i>'s 3-D IMAX release to the 2006 mix, but such a limited venue might be too difficult to predict.

It seems to me that they need a Holiday release in December!

And another movie could sneak in between Underdog and Enchanted.

Pirates: DMC - $350m - after Cars I want to be a little more conservative on Pirates.

2 weeks to Go!!!!

Yesterday I saw Cars a second time and saw the trailer for Invincible. If they go ahead and market it similarly to their other sports films-sneak preview the week before w/ big Disney movie (POTC ) playing for free afterwards, lots of TV and online publicity, good WOM- I could see it pushing about $65-70 million. Also, now that POTC is set in stone as a PG-13 film, I can make my final prediction on that too.

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest- $365 million
Invincible- $67.5 million

Cheers,
JM

Luke, aren't you going to end predictions for POTC: DMC tomorrow like you did with Cars? Because the World Premiere is at Disneyland tomorrow.

Timon/Pumbaa fan wrote:Luke, aren't you going to end predictions for POTC: DMC tomorrow like you did with Cars? Because the World Premiere is at Disneyland tomorrow.

But it's not open to the general public, is it? I mean UD couldn't even get in, so I'm assuming it's strictly limited to invites and broadcast/international media.

When is Shaggy Dog officially closed? Because I just checked Box Office Mojo, and I hit it right on the head. 60 mil exactly

lord-of-sith wrote:When is Shaggy Dog officially closed? Because I just checked Box Office Mojo, and I hit it right on the head. 60 mil exactly

It's probably got at least another two or three weeks left. Disney's tracking has it doing very well in cheap theaters the last two weeks.

I thinks it's time for a couple more predictions

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $320 M
Invincible - $50 M