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Best Actor - Drama
This category's selections will demonstrate to us whether the Globes' reputation as star-obsessed is well-deserved. If Cumberbatch, Redmayne, and Oyelowo all get nominated over their more famous competition...then maybe the old notion of the Globes could be put to rest. Or maybe we can just assume they're trying to predict the Oscar nominees more accurately. The Globes haven't used a field of six here in almost thirty years, but this could be a year where they sneak an additional nominee in.
Best Actress - Drama
From Harry Potter to Hunger Games to The Perks of Being a Wallflower, YA adaptations are notoriously overlooked by awards organizations. But the dearth of substantial female roles makes Woodley, a 2011 Supporting Actress nominee for The Descendants, a likely exception to the rule for the blockbuster tearjerker teen romance. Which is probably more interesting than the following actress picking up a third film nomination.
Best Actor - Musical or Comedy
This is a race that would have benefitted from some category fraud, as I'm only confident in the top three getting recognized from the fairly shallow pool of talent. I am confident that Inherent Vice could be completely shut out, which would open a slot up for one of these two:
Chadwick Boseman would have been a shoo-in for Get On Up in this category, but his movie is being treated as a Drama, not a Musical for some reason.
This would be the most Disneyriffic acting category ever assembled, with Blunt and Jolie hailing from actual Disney fairy tales, Adams and Knightley having famously appeared in high-profile Disney movies before, and Mirren starring in a DreamWorks movie that is distributed by Disney. It'd be an interesting field for a studio that is habitually shunned from serious awards.
Some think that Julianne Moore will become a double nominee for Maps to the Stars, but I think that's overestimating the notoriously polarizing David Cronenberg and a film of uncertain eligibility that won't receive general release until February.
Best Supporting Actor
I had assumed that Johnny Depp's role as the Wolf in Into the Woods would have been expanded in some way, thus earning him a tenth Golden Globe nomination. I can tell you it's not and that his few minutes of screentime couldn't possibly be enough for even the Globes to recognize. I assume Pine benefits as a result of that and the category's slim pickings.
I am convinced that much of the general public will dislike Inherent Vice, so Brolin's nomination may be less likely than salty Duvall, whose film critics disliked but seemed to be liked by the few people who saw it. If the Globes like Big Eyes, Waltz could return to this category he has won twice in the past five years.
Best Supporting Actress
There's enough star power here for Arquette and Dern to sneak in. Part of me thinks Chastain could get in for Interstellar instead, but, without having seen it, Violent appears to be the more of the acting awards type (think Sharon Stone winning Best Actress in a Drama for Casino).
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