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Predict how much the 2007 Disney films will earn

Posted: Thu Jan 11, 2007 6:18 pm
by Luke
This will be the third year I oversee what I'd deem an intimate (i.e. not overly popular) but involving contest which tracks the box office performances of all new releases from Walt Disney Pictures versus our pre-release guesstimates.

Nevertheless, Disney's 2007 slate seems pretty firm, so with the new year upon us, what better time is there to start predicting their performances. If you've already made predictions for 2007 films in the 2006 thread, there is no need to repeat them - I've already got them.

The 2007 movies to predict:

<i>Bridge to Terabithia</i> (February 16)
<i>Meet the Robinsons</i> (March 30)
<i>Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End</i> (May 25)
<i>Ratatouille</i> (June 29)
<i>Underdog</i> (August 3)
<i>The Game Plan</i> (Summer/Fall - TBA)
<i>Enchanted</i> (November 21)
<i>National Treasure: The Book of Secrets</i> (December 21)

As usual, more information on all of these films is available right here at UD:
http://www.ultimatedisney.com/intheaters.html

Two films from 2006 are still earning money, so I've yet to declare a winner for then, even though I should be able to declare one pretty soon. Like 2005's winner, 2006's most accurate overall predictor will earn the 2006 movie of their choice on DVD. I'm not going to make that same guarantee for 2007, but I think it's something I likely will also offer as a reward. This year, the prize -- which in the past has extended only to those who have made predictions for more than half the films -- would only be obtainable for those who have entered predictions for all 8 Disney-branded films of 2007.

Posted: Thu Jan 11, 2007 6:28 pm
by Luke
By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $388.3 M
Ratatouille $211.9 M
National Treasure: The Book of Secrets $178.5 M
Meet the Robinsons $130.2 M
Enchanted $105.8 M
Bridge to Terabithia $71.1 M
Underdog $57 M
The Game Plan $50 M

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,756,861, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)

Glory Road $41.2 M (final gross: $42,647,449, closest - AwallaceUNC, $44.6 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $5,573,929, closest - Mushu/NarniaDis, $5.5 M)
Eight Below $37.6 M (final gross: $81,612,565, closest - Bill W, $60 M)
The Shaggy Dog $78.8 M (final gross: $61,123,569, closest - Lucylover1986/Just Myself/lord-of-sith/Disneykid, $60 M)
The Wild $65.6 M (final gross: $37,384,046, closest - ichabod, $42.9 M)
Stick It $29.8 M (final gross: $26,910,736, closest - castleinthesky, $27 M)
Cars $237.4 M (finalgross: $244,082,982, closest - PatrickvD, $243 M)
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest $325.1 M (final gross: $423,315,812, closest - Timon/Pumbaa fan and Disney Duster, $400 M)
Invincible $45.5 M ((final gross: $57,806,952, closest - Bill W, $60 M)

The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $107.5 M (current gross: $84,134,280, closest - SofaKing38122, $82 M)

Bridge to Terabithia $71.1 M
Meet the Robinsons $130.2 M
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $388.3 M
Ratatouille $211.9 M
Underdog $57 M
The Game Plan $50 M
Enchanted $105.8 M
National Treasure: The Book of Secrets $178.5 M

Posted: Thu Jan 11, 2007 7:15 pm
by Disneykid
Bridge to Terabithia - $64 million
Meet the Robinsons - $121 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End - $375 million
Ratatouille - $261 million
Underdog - $54 million
The Game Plan - $45 million
Enchanted - $115 million
National Treasure: The Book of Secrets - $130 million

Posted: Thu Jan 11, 2007 7:29 pm
by Timon/Pumbaa fan
Bridge to Terabithia: $89 million
Meet the Robinsons: $216 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End: $385 million
Ratatouille: $91 million
Underdog: $135 million
The Game Plan: $34 million
Enchanted: $100 million
National Treasure: The Book of Secrets: $278 million

Posted: Thu Jan 11, 2007 7:54 pm
by Just Myself
NOTE: This is the same post I made in the '06 thread just hours ago, plus my prediction for one that I originally forgot.

"Time for some 2007 predicts!

Bridge to Terabithia - I think I've seen the trailer for this, like, once. The promotion on this has been pretty terrible if you ask me. I still don't know what the hell it's about aside from what I've read here and at IMDb! $45 million

Meet the Robinsons - Could be Chicken Little-esque, dollarwise, not qualitywise. $150 million

Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End - This is gonna be just as huge as DMC, trust me. ;) $415 million

Ratatouille - Still sticking to my original prediction. $275 million

Underdog - Sounds pretty cheesy, don't see it making a load of money, but still, not much is known about it at this time, so I'll give a generic prediction. $50 million

The Game Plan - The forgotten one. With what sounds like a Pacifier-esque plot, and what should be a similar ad campaign, I expect success along those lines. $125 million

Enchanted - This should be blockbuster #3 (4 if you include TGP) for what should be one of Disney's most succesful years on record. $135 million

National Treasure: The Book of Secrets - I expect it to be bigger and better than the original, and go on to become a huge success, the second biggest of the year. $275 million"

Cheers,
JM :thumb:

Posted: Fri Jan 12, 2007 12:39 am
by ichabod
Bridge to Terabithia - $74.6 mil
Meet the Robinsons - $172.2 mil
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End - 460.1 mil
Ratatouille - $180.9 mil
Underdog - $41.2 mil
The Game Plan - $29.9 mil
Enchanted - $133.5 mil
National Treasure: The Book of Secrets - $148.6 mil

Posted: Fri Jan 12, 2007 1:04 am
by MickeyMousePal
Bridge to Terabithia: $77 million
Meet the Robinsons: $205 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End: $385 million
Ratatouille: $220 million
Underdog: $72 million
The Game Plan: $58 million
Enchanted: $120 million
National Treasure: The Book of Secrets: $275 million

Posted: Fri Jan 12, 2007 11:53 am
by kbehm29
Thanks Luke!!!

These are my previous predictions, for my own record on this thread:

Bridge to Terabithia: 68M
Meet the Robinsons: 135M
POTC: At World's End: 375M
Ratatouille: 220M

New Predictions:

Underdog: 75M
The Game Plan: Don't know enough about it yet to predict
Enchanted: 137M
National Treasure: The Book of Secrets: 171M

Posted: Fri Jan 12, 2007 12:50 pm
by The Merman
My predictions Luke.

Bridge to Terabithia: $80 million
Meet the Robinsons: $130 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End: $440 million
Ratatouille: $215 million
Underdog: $72 million
The Game Plan: $60 million
Enchanted: $250 million
National Treasure: The Book of Secrets: $175 million

Posted: Fri Jan 12, 2007 1:16 pm
by Lucylover1986
Bridge to Terabithia - $55 million
Meet the Robinsons - $110 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End - $365 million
Ratatouille - $225 million
Underdog - $38 million
The Game Plan - $55 million
Enchanted - $65 million
National Treasure: The Book of Secrets - $125 million

Posted: Fri Jan 12, 2007 4:07 pm
by NarniaDis
Cannot remember my predictions at this point...

Bridge to Teribithia - 75m although I can see this going over 100 if they ever get the marketing in order....

Meet the Robinsons - 150m although again I can see this going higher - its had great crowd reaction to the trailers and interest is already high...

Pirates 3 - 400m - Dont think this will get more than DMC but it should still cross the 4 mark

Ratitouille (sp?) - 260 - maybe the next FN but more than likely will end up between Cars and Incredibles...

Underdog - 65m - a performance much like Sky High although it could go either way....

The Game Plan - 50m - need more info....

Enchanted - 110 but again I really think it could go either way it could become a run-away hit and get 2d back on its feet or it could tank....

National Treasure 2 - one of the few "Locks" of 2007 - 200m this could do a Meet the Fockers and rocket well above its Predicesser or it could have Sequalitis and not do nearly as well....

Posted: Fri Jan 12, 2007 4:40 pm
by lord-of-sith
Bridge to Terabithia - $83 million
Meet the Robinsons - $112 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End - $401 million
Ratatouille - $234 million
Underdog - $61 million
The Game Plan - $51 million
Enchanted - $150 million (the real wild card here, most likely to change)
National Treasure: The Book of Secrets - $212 million

Posted: Sat Jan 13, 2007 12:46 pm
by PixarFan2006
Bridge to Terabithia-$81,000,000
Meet the Robinsons-$151,000,000
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End-$450,000,000
Ratatouille-$250,000,000
Underdog-$70,000,000
The Game Plan-$50,000,000
Enchanted-$100,000,000
National Treasure: The Book of Secrets-$120,000,000

Posted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 2:01 pm
by Luke
I'm declaring a winner for 2006 at the end of this very post.

I've revised my <b>Meet the Robinsons</b> prediction ever so slightly to $85 M. Through this prediction, here are the 2007 numbers and 2006 holdovers.

By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $402.7 M
Ratatouille $220.5 M
National Treasure: The Book of Secrets $182.1 M
Meet the Robinsons $138.3 M
Enchanted $121.7 M
Bridge to Terabithia $73.0 M
Underdog $65.1 M
The Game Plan $55.3 M

By Release Date:
Aliens of the Deep $9.2 M (current gross: $8,759,203, closest - castleinthesky/Jack/TheLittleMerman, $9 M)
Roving Mars $7.5 M (current gross: $5,793,564, closest - 2099net, $5.8 M)
The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause $107.5 M (current gross: $84,481,613, closest - SofaKing38122, $82 M)

Bridge to Terabithia $73.3 M
Meet the Robinsons $138.3 M
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $402.7 M
Ratatouille $220.5 M
Underdog $65.1 M
The Game Plan $55.3 M
Enchanted $121.7 M
National Treasure: The Book of Secrets $182.1 M


The winner of 2006... with an overall accuracy of 75% on predictions for all ten eligible titles is....

<b>castleinthesky</b>.

Send me an e-mail, castle, with your pick of the 2006 movie DVD you'd like as your prize.

Posted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 2:48 pm
by yamiiguy
By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $986.7 M
Ratatouille $650.8 M
National Treasure: The Book of Secrets $80.9 M
Meet the Robinsons $200.7 M
Enchanted $247.9 M
Bridge to Terabithia $143.6 M
Underdog $121.1 M
The Game Plan $50.0 M


:D
Hopefully I'll get close, don't think POTC: AWE will cross the billion mark but I think it'll get close

Posted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 3:40 pm
by NarniaDis
Ah ok - um I really dont think pirates will get 420 much less 900 - unless you're talking WW figures....

Posted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 6:25 pm
by Just Myself
yamiiguy wrote:By Predicted Gross:
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $986.7 M
Ratatouille $650.8 M
National Treasure: The Book of Secrets $80.9 M
Meet the Robinsons $200.7 M
Enchanted $247.9 M
Bridge to Terabithia $143.6 M
Underdog $121.1 M
The Game Plan $50.0 M

:D
Hopefully I'll get close, don't think POTC: AWE will cross the billion mark but I think it'll get close
Dude, you're WAY off on all those predicts. AWE will probably make somewhere in the vacinity of $365-$435 million. Book of Secrets will make at least $175 million, most likely more. Finally, it's highly unlikey The Robinsons will make $200 million.

Cheers,
JM :thumb:

Posted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 6:58 pm
by Timon/Pumbaa fan
Just Myself wrote:Finally, it's highly unlikey The Robinsons will make $200 million.
More likely than Ratatouille getting over $600 million. :wink:

If you look at the front page, Meet the Robinsons is going to have a commercial during the Super Bowl. Considering SO many people just pay attention to the Super Bowl commercials alone, it's certainly going to get even more attention than before and has a pretty big chance to gross at least $200 million.

Also, congrats to castleinthesky for his excellent predictions! :clap:

Posted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 7:14 pm
by Just Myself
Timon/Pumbaa fan wrote:
Just Myself wrote:Finally, it's highly unlikey The Robinsons will make $200 million.
More likely than Ratatouille getting over $600 million. :wink:

If you look at the front page, Meet the Robinsons is going to have a commercial during the Super Bowl. Considering SO many people just pay attention to the Super Bowl commercials alone, it's certainly going to get even more attention than before and has a pretty big chance to gross at least $200 million.

Also, congrats to castleinthesky for his excellent predictions! :clap:
It'll hit the $100 million mark, that's for sure, but not $200 million, no way. Also, I left Ratatouile out because I knew you'd correct him on that one. ;)

I second the congratulations to CITS. :clap: :) :party:

Cheers,
JM :thumb:

Re: Predict how much the 2007 Disney films will earn

Posted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 7:51 pm
by Escapay
Well, this is my first time venturing into this contest, so I'm sure my predictions will be really off. Still, it's nice attaching a number that we feel can reflect the quality of the movie as determined by how many people pay money to see it. BTW, is this just US intake or worldwide?

Bridge to Terabithia - $77 million
Meet the Robinsons - $213.3 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End - $388 million
Ratatouille - $255.7 million
Underdog - $62 million
The Game Plan - $73 million
Enchanted - $163 million
National Treasure: The Book of Secrets - $178 million

Escapay