On the eve of
Elemental looking to flop and TLM still undecided (possibly well in North America, possibly not well overseas)--I'm not surprised. Not to mention last year's
Lightyear for PIXAR and
Strange World for WDAS.
Avatar 2 is the only big win for Disney recently, I believe?
WDAS will be fine with
Wish,
Frozen III, and
Zootopia 2, imo. PIXAR shouldn't have went back to formulaic buddy roadtrips for the millionth time; they should've continued to pursue new things like
Turning Red and
Luca. They can course correct somewhat with
Elio, since it looks like it may only have one protagonist rather than the usual buddies who are opposite and need to learn from one another, but its genre could end up hampering that one, who knows. I'm not sure what to expect with
Toy Story 5, except that I'd think it would still do decent business if it suffered a downturn from TS4?
The division overseeing the remakes is in a much worse position than either of those, imo. They could course correct and make
Hercules,
Hunchback,
Lilo & Stitch, and
Moana more faithful remakes rather than continuing to rip things to shreds as with
Mulan, TLM, PP&W, and SW. That means including the original soundtrack without cutting songs here and changing lyrics there, and getting a good cast.
Hunchback and
Moana at least have Josh Gad and Dwayne Johnson respectively. L&S has Sanders back as Stitch and at least didn't start off by cutting characters like Cobra Bubbles--I'm not sure if voice actors for Jumba, Pleakley or the Grand Councilwoman have been cast though.
If
Hercules cuts the Muses and the soundtrack from that film, it's going down in flames, too. Disney should think about the fact that the Muses and soundtrack would allow them to include some big names with that film--like JHUD and Lizzo--that could help lift it. That's if pissing off the fans by slicing and dicing yet another film isn't enough reason to do so. SW may end up doing around the 600-700 million level (same thing I expect for TLM really) thanks to Gal Gadot lifting it and the fairy tale being one of the biggies. Aside from that, L&S and
Moana are the biggest properties the remake fad has left to milk successfully if they don't screw them up, since I doubt
Hercules would have an enormous box office even in the best case scenario. The best case scenario for
Hercules--if they included the soundtrack and Muses, and adapted it faithful to the animated film--would just get it to
Cinderella /
Mistress of Evil level numbers, I believe, going off of nostalgia and potential big names. You take away the nostalgia by changing everything and that film will do even worse than that, much like all the other
Hercules live-action adaptations of the myth over the years. I could see
Moana doing well at the box office with Johnson back. I don't know how TLK2 will do--that may be what DIsney is waiting on before they decide to greenlight an
Aladdin 2 more than anything else. There are other properties they could make, but the only real big hitter brands they have left after
Moana and L&S would be remakes for
Tangled and
Frozen. I don't think
Bambi could do big numbers even if it's a universally remembered. I don't think they'd want to do
Frozen just yet with the original series ongoing, but a remake for
Tangled could do well simply because "Rapunzel" is a well-known fairy tale even if its not for the Disney film specifically (just going by the animated series struggling with brand recognition and changing it's title to include "Rapunzel" in the name midway through). And perhaps they could even use the remake as a way to re-brand the animated film as
Rapunzel, too...
Aside from remakes, live-action Disney could look at a POTC6 that reunites Depp, Bloom, and Knightley potentially. Although that's unlikely, it's still more likely than live-action Disney coming up with an
original live-action film that's any good.
I don't follow Marvel and
Star Wars closely. I think GOTG3 is doing well? But I read something about
Black Adam having underperformed in the comments here when the
Moana remake was announced.