Disney's Divinity wrote:And I would agree with you that there are many factors that would tip the scale one way or another. But all those reasons are why I find the statement that "Frozen has made more money than any other Disney feature ever (without adjusting for inflation), so therefore 3D is more popular than 2D ever was"
ridiculous.
Frozen is still behind many of Disney's best hand-drawn features, and
Tangled, MTR, WIR,
Bolt, and
Chicken Little are somewhere from the middle to down in the drecks.
See
this post, which I've kept updated (I don't think
Frozen's going to move anymore spaces--it's really just in theaters to cross the $400,000,000 bar in the US, I think).
According to your list,
Frozen is behind
Aladdin and
The Lion King, which are the only 2D films that sit ahead of
Frozen that are remotely viable comparisons of performance. You just can't compare it to films like
Snow White or
101 Dalmatians, which are from an entirely different era. Fact is that
Frozen sits among the company of
Aladdin,
The Lion King,
Toy Story 3,
Shrek 2, and
Finding Nemo as some of the most popular animated films of the modern era.
Fflewduur wrote:And I'd not be the one to make that particular statement.
But CG is still more popular *at this time* (at least in the US), if for no other reason than that there's no basis for comparison because wide-release 2D features have begun to share a common characteristic with the passenger pigeon and the dodo bird. It's been a decade since Home on the Range. Maybe there's been a wide-release 2D feature from a US studio in that time besides TPatF; if so, I've missed it. So that's one. Ghibli and auteurs like Chomet work in 2D, but for ten years 2D has been almost entirely the domain of niche audiences and direct-to-home releases; you can't even compare box office receipts because 2D's given nothing suitable as a basis for comparison. Is 2D obsolete or inferior? No. Is it artistically viable? Sure. Bt the definition of "popular" is "prevalent among the general public," by which there's simply no contest--and debating how we reached this point doesn't affect the outcome in the least.
Edit: your research is to be commended.
I think Disney Divinity took issue because you concluded that "there’s no factual basis to assert
Frozen could have performed *nearly* as well as a 2D feature," but you didn't address the reverse. I agree with your conclusion, but I think the reverse is also true. There is no factual basis to really assert that
Frozen couldn't have performed as well as a 2D feature either.
And what you're getting at in this post is the crux of it. There just isn't
anything to base the claim on, in either direction. There have only been 3 examples (that I can think of) of mainstream 2D animated features released by US studios since Disney and Dreamworks stopped producing them in 2003/2004. There's
The Simpsons Movie (regardless of any outsourcing, I consider it a US feature),
The Princess and the Frog, and
Winnie the Pooh. That's it.
The Simpsons Movie was successful, but was based on a popular TV property aimed primarily at adults, and thus can't really tell us anything.
Winnie The Pooh can't tell us much either, since it is part of an established brand that has been diluted by Disney beyond repair, as the average person basically associates it with toddlers and babies.
The Princess and the Frog is the only one that can tell us anything. It's box office performance was "disappointing," but that could be attributed to a number of factors, including an alienating title, a poor release date, or having a primarily black cast (yes, I seriously think this is a huge contributing factor). Yet, it's performance isn't that much worse than a lot of CGI flicks of today:
Rise of the Guardians,
Epic,
Turbo,
Cloudy 2,
Mr. Peabody and Sherman... None of these have performed much better than PATF, if at all.
So we only have PATF to go off of. Yet, it's only one film. It's hardly enough to tell us anything as to whether or not audiences are interested in 2D animation today. It's true that 2D generally wasn't doing so hot when it got all but shut down in 2003/2004. There were some huge hits on the CGI front, and some monumental failures on the 2D side. Despite the fact that the middle-ground films were posting box office returns in the same range, I can see how CGI could have been perceived as the best viable course for the future at that time, from a business standpoint. But now that we have CGI films from the big guns virtually bombing left and right, perhaps now is the time to test the waters with 2D again?