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Watch the nominees announced by Alfonso Cuarσn, J.J. Abrams, Chris Pine and Cheryl Boone Isaacs:
Nominees
Picture
Analysis: The Academy opts for only eight nominees this year, a first since switching to a variable field. Based on all the other nominations, it seems pretty clear that Foxcatcher just missed the cut and would have been in line for the 9th spot. Beyond that, nothing is certain.
Predicted: 8/8 (Though I did have Gone Girl in ninth and assumed it was in.)
Actor
Predicted: 4/5 (I had Cooper just missing in favor of Selma's David Oyelowo.)
Actress
Predicted: 4/5 (Didn't see Cotillard being the rare foreign performance to sneak in; I thought Amy Adams would get nomination #6.)
Supporting Actor
Predicted: 5/5 (Not happy to be right; The Judge doesn't deserve to be an Oscar-nominated film.)
Supporting Actress
Predicted: 4/5 (Missed Laura Dern, who seemed to be out of the running, by picking A Most Violent Year's Jessica Chastain in fifth instead.)
Director
Predicted: 3/5 (Picked Selma's Ava DuVernay and Whiplash's Damien Chazelle over Miller and Tydlum from this deep contender pool.)
Original Screenplay
Predicted: 3/5 (Foxcatcher and Nightcrawler were my top two next in line, but I saw Selma and Mr. Turner getting in over them.)
Adapted Screenplay
Predicted: 3/5 (Had American Sniper next in line and the snubbed Gone Girl as most likely to get in. Also missed Inherent Vice by picking Wild. Relieved Whiplash didn't miss out due to its classification confusion. This award is now its to win.)
Film Editing
Predicted: 4/5 (Had Gone Girl in and The Imitation Game as the next in line.)
Animated Feature
Predicted: 4/5 (Had Song of the Sea in sixth and The Lego Movie in first. Absolutely stunned by its exclusion here.)
Foreign Language Film
Predicted: 4/5 (Had Force Majeure over Timbuktu.)
Documentary Feature
Predicted: 3/5 (I predicted Life Itself and The Case Against 8 in the slots that went to Finding Vivian Maier and The Salt in the Earth.)
Visual Effects
Predicted: 3/5 (I wrongly had The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies and Godzilla in over Captain America and X-Men.)
Cinematography
Predicted: 4/5 (Had Grand Budapest next in line and Gone Girl in.)
Production Design
Predicted: 4/5 (Missed The Imitation Game by picking Hobbit.)
Costume Design
Predicted: 4/5 (Picked Big Eyes, which got nothing, over double nominee Inherent Vice.)
Makeup and Hairstyling
Predicted: 2/3 (Had Grand Budapest in fourth and Maleficent getting in instead.)
I'd have expected Into the Woods to make it, until it missed the shortlist of seven.
Original Song
Predicted: 3/5 (Missed "Grateful" and "I'm Not Gonna Miss You" by picking "Big Eyes" and Noah's "Mercy Is." The Animated Feature snub gives The Lego Movie the upper hand here.)
Original Score
Predicted: 3/5 (Missed Mr. Turner and Grand Budapest. Had Unbroken and Gone Girl getting in.)
Sound Editing
Predicted: 3/5 (Missed Birdman and Hobbit...guessed Fury and Godzilla in the last two slots instead.)
Sound Mixing
Predicted: 3/5 (Whiplash and Birdman got in over Into the Woods, despite the category's history of honoring musicals, and Guardians of the Galaxy.)
Overall: 78/108 correct (72%)
Documentary Short
Animated Short
Live-Action Short
Predicted: Didn't predict, gladly.
Analysis: Apart from The Lego Movie's omission from Animated Feature and the Best Picture field of only eight, there weren't too many huge surprises this morning. Gone Girl performed much worse than expected, only picking up the Best Actress nomination. Selma made it into Best Picture, but only Original Song beyond that. Foxcatcher did very well and better than many expected, but still somehow missed the Best Picture cut. Birdman made it into almost every category it was eligible for, its only noticeable miss being Editing. The Grand Budapest Hotel featured extensively, which not many would have seen just a few weeks ago based on past Wes Anderson movies' underrecognition and its release all the way back in March. Its continued prominence at guild awards foretold a big day for it, however. Multi-Nominated Films by Number of Nominations:
Single-Nomination Features:
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