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72nd Golden Globe Awards (2014-15): Final Predictions, Page 2
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Best Supporting Actor
Who will win: J.K. Simmons. He's got this awards season wrapped up just like Cate Blanchett had last year's female lead in the bag. Heck, he even tied for the African-American Film Critics Association's supporting actor award, making him the only white winner there.
Who should win: Simmons has my full support. Who should have been nominated: I love Duvall and he may be the best thing about The Judge, but I'm opposed to bad movies being nominated for awards, so I would have preferred to see someone else take that place, be it clinging to contention Josh Brolin for Inherent Vice or something more outside the box, like Boyhood's highly effective Marco Perella or Guardians of the Galaxy's live-action standout Dave Bautista.
Best Supporting Actress
Who will win: Meryl Streep. The Globes went through a long stretch of nominating Streep but having her lose. Since 2007, though, she's won three times. She's lost the last two years, so she may be due. I feel like this film is one the Globes won't shut out and Streep's performance seems like the most obvious source of recognition.
Who should win: Arquette is the Oscars' presumed frontrunner in this category and she'd be a deserving winner (and first-time nominee). She'd also be worthy here, but so would Streep, who doesn't feel ready for a fourth Oscar statuette just yet. If the two were to split this category, I'd be perfectly content with Streep taking this and then Arquette winning the Oscar. Best Director
Who will win: The prevailing wisdom seems to say this award is between Linklater and Iñárritu. Iñárritu certainly displays a tremendous amount of craft in his technically potent film. But Linklater worked on Boyhood for twelve years and you've got to admire that passion and work ethic even if you don't consider the film a masterpiece. Add in the fact that he has never received a single major directing nomination in his 25-year career despite a generally agreeable body of work and Linklater seems like the obvious choice for both this and the Oscars' equivalent.
Who should win: As much as I like Linklater and enjoy many of his films, I wouldn't mind if he was recognized for something else. With Gone Girl being handily the best of these five nominated films, Fincher deserves this honor most for making so much out of a kind of airport bestseller. That said, I won't begrudge Linklater acknowledgment he's long deserved.
Best Screenplay
What should win: Gone Girl strikes me as the most creative of these five and Flynn's ability to adapt her novel deserves praise.
What will win: Boyhood's concept is much more an asset than its screenplay, which only shows a few flashes of brilliance. Gone Girl's lack of a Best Picture nomination seems to hurt its chances here. Grand Budapest and Birdman are the most fanciful of the pack, which usually helps in the Oscars' designated Original Screenplay category. The last three years, the film that wins this award goes on to win that one. Whether or not that streak continues, I will predict Grand Budapest Hotel wins this and thus does not come away empty-handed.
What should have been nominated: The Lego Movie wielded a lot of creativity. So did Interstellar and Whiplash. Frankly, I'd be fine with this category losing everything except Gone Girl. You could give the last slot to a "neglected" blockbuster like Dawn of the Planet of the Apes or Guardians of the Galaxy.
Best Animated Feature
What should win: Since I advocated it for Best Picture - Musical or Comedy above, you can bet I'm backing The Lego Movie. Big Hero 6 is my second favorite of the four that I've seen and The Boxtrolls also ranks among my favorites of all 2014 films. But it's still got to be The Lego Movie, a film that took me and many by surprise with its tremendous value.
What will win: Though its theatrical opening last February may be but a distant memory, The Lego Movie seems to have persevered through the long year and remains the favorite for this award.
What should have been nominated: Nothing that I've seen, but then I haven't seen as many of the 2014 animated movies as I would like to (thanks, Fox!).
Best Original Song
What will win: "Glory" from Selma has weight the others lack.
What should win: "Glory" is fine with me, but...
What should have been nominated: "Everything Is Awesome" from The Lego Movie and "I'll Get You What You Want (Cockatoo in Malibu)" from Muppets Most Wanted. For an organization that chooses to recognize musicals and comedies, Best Original Score
What should win: Interstellar, if only on the basis that what I consider the best film of the year shouldn't go home empty-handed.
What will win: Birdman, which has controversially been deemed ineligible for the Academy Awards' Original Score award.
Best Foreign Language Film
What should win: I have only seen one of the nominees and therefore don't feel qualified at all to say.
What will win: Ida, the only one of the five I've seen, seems like it could be the winner and if not here, then perhaps at the Oscars. Then again, I've still got to see the other four.
Don't forget to watch the Globes, hosted by Tina Fey and Amy Poehler, live this Sunday, January 11th at 5 pm Pacific/8 pm Eastern on NBC (pre-show starts one hour earlier). There are eleven television categories too, which I might find useful for snack breaks, bathroom visits, and pool tiebreakers.
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Related Reviews -- Golden Globe-Nominated Films:
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Boyhood • The Theory of Everything • Birdman • The Imitation Game • The Grand Budapest Hotel • St. Vincent
Gone Girl • The Lego Movie • Big Hero 6 • Nightcrawler • The Hundred-Foot Journey
Big Eyes • Into the Woods • Inherent Vice • The Judge • The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 1 • Noah
Win the Boyhood: Blu-ray + DVD + Digital HD combo pack
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Posted January 7, 2015.
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